Bernie can't win they say

maximumpossiblesuffering said:
I know which source of probability I’d rather have on my side.
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Me too

Obama McCain Feb 2008


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Obama Romney Feb 2012

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Hillary Trump Feb 2016

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Sanders Trump Feb 2020


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Here4money said:
Taking the side of degenerates over statisticians huh? Winning strategy right there.
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Do you think of traders, including profitable ones, as degenerates? The oddsmakers tend to make money as do informed bettors. Informed bettors tend to have more money individually than random bettors. As far as each group’s contribution to the prize pool en masse, I don’t know. Money tends to flow from the ill informed to the informed. The informed tend to be wealthier than the uniformed.

Sound familiar? Kind of like poor Bernie Sanders supporters voting for a Socialist believing their life will improve? Kind of like expecting the rich to say, “Oh darn, a Socialist has been elected who wants to tax the shit out of us, but we’ll just have to take it”? Or expecting the long history of Socialist failures to not happen this time? In a well established Capitalist system to boot?

Please God, may Bernie be the Democrat nominee for President. If you do this one thing for us, I’ll promise to pray to you every night!
 
fan27 said:
Let's make this interesting. Assuming Bernie is the nominee, I will bet you any amount up to $10,000 that he will not become president.
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I dont bet Trump supporters over the internet,only a fool would.
 
maximumpossiblesuffering said:
Ok, you gone from 1 month old polls to repeating 4 and 8 year old polls to try to make your point?

Good luck with hanging your hat on that.

Time to make some money. Your next post will go uncontested by me. Please make it a good one, if you have one.
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The poll I posted was the last Fox News poll taken.
 
Tony Stark said:
When polls ask directly if they will vote for Trump or Sanders they overwhelmingly say Sanders,since 2015

Just because someone identifies as moderate doesn't mean they will vote Trump or stay home thats why there are polls that ask directly who you will vote for and those polls have been right the last 3 presidential elections.
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I'm just trying to look at it from a neutral perspective. Sanders could easily win the nomination by appealing to the far left faction of the Democratic party, but I don't see him appealing to enough moderates & centrists to win the general election. IMO, Biden or Bloomberg would have a much higher probability of beating Trump.

Do you really think that centrists & moderates in purple states would pick Sanders over Trump? I just can't see that happening, regardless of what the polls say.
 
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