Here is Bernankeâs roadmap, and a âpoint-by-pointâ list ....
1. Reduce nominal interest rate to zero. Check. That didnât work...
2. Increase the number of dollars in circulation, or credibly threaten to do so. Check. That didnât work...
3. Expand the scale of asset purchases or, possibly, expand the menu of assets it buys. Check & check. That didnât work...
4. Make low-interest-rate loans to banks. Check. That didnât work...
5. Cooperate with fiscal authorities to inject more money. Check. That didnât work...
6. Lower rates further out along the Treasury term structure. Check. That didnât work...
7. Commit to holding the overnight rate at zero for some specified period. Check. That didnât work...
8. Begin announcing explicit ceilings for yields on longer-maturity Treasury debt (bonds maturing within the next two years); enforce interest-rate ceilings by committing to make unlimited purchases of securities at prices consistent with the targeted yields. Check, and check. That didnât work...
9. If that proves insufficient, cap yields of Treasury securities at still longer maturities, say three to six years. Check (theyâre buying out to 7 years right now.) That didnât work...
10. Use its existing authority to operate in the markets for agency debt. Check (in fact, they âownâ the agency debt market!) That didnât work...
11. Influence yields on privately issued securities. (Note: the Fed used to be restricted in doing that, but not anymore.) Check. That didnât work...
12. Offer fixed-term loans to banks at low or zero interest, with a wide range of private assets deemed eligible as collateral (â¦Well, Iâm still waiting for them to accept bellybutton lint & Beanie Babies, but Iâm sure my patience will be rewarded. Besides their âmark-to-maturityâ offers will be more than enticing!) Anyway⦠Check. That didnât work...
13. Buy foreign government debt (and although Ben didnât specifically mention it, letâs not forget those dollar swaps with foreign nations.) Check. That didnât work...
Bernanke has failed. "It" has happened. The proof is irrefutable
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2009/04/bernankes-deflation-preventing.html
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1. Reduce nominal interest rate to zero. Check. That didnât work...
2. Increase the number of dollars in circulation, or credibly threaten to do so. Check. That didnât work...
3. Expand the scale of asset purchases or, possibly, expand the menu of assets it buys. Check & check. That didnât work...
4. Make low-interest-rate loans to banks. Check. That didnât work...
5. Cooperate with fiscal authorities to inject more money. Check. That didnât work...
6. Lower rates further out along the Treasury term structure. Check. That didnât work...
7. Commit to holding the overnight rate at zero for some specified period. Check. That didnât work...
8. Begin announcing explicit ceilings for yields on longer-maturity Treasury debt (bonds maturing within the next two years); enforce interest-rate ceilings by committing to make unlimited purchases of securities at prices consistent with the targeted yields. Check, and check. That didnât work...
9. If that proves insufficient, cap yields of Treasury securities at still longer maturities, say three to six years. Check (theyâre buying out to 7 years right now.) That didnât work...
10. Use its existing authority to operate in the markets for agency debt. Check (in fact, they âownâ the agency debt market!) That didnât work...
11. Influence yields on privately issued securities. (Note: the Fed used to be restricted in doing that, but not anymore.) Check. That didnât work...
12. Offer fixed-term loans to banks at low or zero interest, with a wide range of private assets deemed eligible as collateral (â¦Well, Iâm still waiting for them to accept bellybutton lint & Beanie Babies, but Iâm sure my patience will be rewarded. Besides their âmark-to-maturityâ offers will be more than enticing!) Anyway⦠Check. That didnât work...
13. Buy foreign government debt (and although Ben didnât specifically mention it, letâs not forget those dollar swaps with foreign nations.) Check. That didnât work...
Bernanke has failed. "It" has happened. The proof is irrefutable
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2009/04/bernankes-deflation-preventing.html
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