Apparently the sky is falling

Stockolio said:
Central Banks under-estimated there stupidity of uber low interest rates, and accidentally created a world bubble, debt servicing on loans is now lowering spending power across the world. In any given economy, purchasing power largely reflects on how much Debt Servicing it has to fulfill, in a Ponzi like cycle like current one, new money has to pay for old debt, so the stimulus every few quarters the Central Banks have been doing, have got to keep getting bigger to normalize purchasing power due to higher debt servicing, and the intended effects are shorter, like China's 4 Trillion yuan printing in January alone, did not even boost any consumption even with there new years celebration... China has been trying to stop it's current recession that started in early 2018, and they are unable to stop it from collapsing. I do not think there's ever been a major economy that it's Central Bank and government were unable to stop it's own downfall. China cannot have a soft landing, they will not get a Japan Lost decade, they will get a hard landing and you are seeing it now... People seem to forget the driver of this cycle was massive Chinese printing debt, which export orientated economies benefited tremendously, from Australia all the way to Germany, well it's been coming to an end quite fast since 2018. It's at 1000 % percent the global economy crashes in 2019, much sooner then later. We have always had boom-bust cycles since the early 1900s, this was the biggest boom and will be the biggest bust, it's not just a single country, every major economy has a serious debt problem. Like I typed in another thread, will markets go in meltdown or just bear territory ? Who really knows, could be meltdown given the extent of financial collapse, won't be many guys like Buffet staying in once the Tesla's and Wirecard's get exposed or once Moody's downgrades BBB's into Junk. One thing that is for certain, this will be the biggest economic recession in modern era, it will last many years... Only way out is deleveraging, possibly a lot of it
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Buy canned soup, bottled water, lots of toilet paper, and ammo.
 
kmiklas said:
The Fed is dovish, bond market is roaring, the Bund is paying negative rates, T-bonds yields are plummeting, WARNING SIGNALS are flashing like the check engine light in my old 1977 Camaro... and AAPL’s event today was a *yawn*.

Are we all jumping ship?
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kmiklas,

Help me understand.

I do not understand the logic or entertainment of trying to predict if the market will drop alot or go up alot.

It is common sense and simple to know that the past 100 years or so, the stock market (S&P 500 ) has always been going in one direction. And that direction is upwards.

So why not just keep on buying regardless if up or down, and keep the life simple for the long term?? Every two weeks I get paid, I just buy the S&P 500. Keep it simple man. Here is a chart 30 years of the SP 500. You wanna bet the next 30 years it will be higher.


upload_2019-3-25_20-25-8.png
 
piezoe said:
Buy canned soup, bottled water, lots of toilet paper, and ammo.
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lol, your guys are really silly man. I been hearing this doom and gloom and stock market about to crash for the past 10 years, and it just keep on going up and up and up and up and up. I am so glad I just buy the market and get back to trading. i can't believe how you guys talk sometimes.
 
SimpleMeLike said:
lol, your guys are really silly man. I been hearing this doom and gloom and stock market about to crash for the past 10 years, and it just keep on going up and up and up and up and up. I am so glad I just buy the market and get back to trading. i can't believe how you guys talk sometimes.
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That's why it is soo important not to read those news written by 'experts' seriously.
We have to read it with a pinch of salt, and do our own analysis.
 
SimpleMeLike said:
kmiklas,

Help me understand.

I do not understand the logic or entertainment of trying to predict if the market will drop alot or go up alot.

It is common sense and simple to know that the past 100 years or so, the stock market (S&P 500 ) has always been going in one direction. And that direction is upwards.

So why not just keep on buying regardless if up or down, and keep the life simple for the long term?? Every two weeks I get paid, I just buy the S&P 500. Keep it simple man. Here is a chart 30 years of the SP 500. You wanna bet the next 30 years it will be higher.


View attachment 199552
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This is what you get on the fiat money system. The Dow will increase 500 to 1000% every 30 years, just like it has since the early 1900s.
 
maxinger said:
That's why it is soo important not to read those news written by 'experts' seriously.
We have to read it with a pinch of salt, and do our own analysis.
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maxinger,

I don't read that crap man. That stuff is stupid and a waste of time. Its very clear to buy the market as much as you can and often as you can for long term wealth. lol, noone can dare challenge me that buying the market does not work.
 
peilthetraveler said:
This is what you get on the fiat money system. The Dow will increase 500 to 1000% every 30 years, just like it has since the early 1900s.
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So many people are gold haters, but I think the price of gold fits your analysis to a degree as well. The price of gold averaged $20 or so through the whole 1800's...now it's plus $1300. Not bad for a shiny rock.
 
SimpleMeLike said:
lol, your guys are really silly man. I been hearing this doom and gloom and stock market about to crash for the past 10 years, and it just keep on going up and up and up and up and up. I am so glad I just buy the market and get back to trading. i can't believe how you guys talk sometimes.
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I don't know what part of the market you buy, but companies do cease to exist. Did you hold any tech companies through the 2000 crash...many went away forever?
 
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