Anybody else short US 30 Bond

Quote from benwm:

longs are going to be shitting blood soon

Last time it took 3 days for the long end to go from 133 to 130. Today only 30 min. That qualifies for shitting blood I guess.

But the middle is stable.


Was there an expectation that the FED will buy some long end? I think they made it clear the buying will be in the middle.
 
Quote from ivanbaj:

Last time it took 3 days for the long end to go from 133 to 130. Today only 30 min. That qualifies for shitting blood I guess.

But the middle is stable.


Was there an expectation that the FED will buy some long end? I think they made it clear the buying will be in the middle.

I think it's just the beginning
 
Taken together, the Desk anticipates conducting $850 billion to $900 billion of purchases of longer-term Treasury securities through the end of the second quarter. This would result in an average purchase pace of roughly $110 billion per month, representing about $75 billion per month associated with additional purchases and roughly $35 billion per month associated with reinvestment purchases.

The Desk plans to distribute these purchases across the following eight maturity sectors based on the approximate weights below:

Nominal Coupon Securities by Maturity Range

<img src="http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/cfs-file.ashx/__key/CommunityServer.Components.UserFiles/00.00.03.44.60/11_5F00_3-NY-FED-STATEMENT.PNG" />

Under this distribution, the Desk anticipates that the assets purchased will have an average duration of between 5 and 6 years. The distribution of purchases could change if market conditions warrant, but such changes would be designed to not significantly alter the average duration of the assets purchased.
 
Good thing I went into this thing long 5s and added to a 5s30s steepener; Sitting happy :)

Quote from Martinghoul:

Here we go... Anyone wanna hazard a guess where 10s30s are going to?
 
Quote from sjfan:
Good thing I went into this thing long 5s and added to a 5s30s steepener; Sitting happy :)
Very nice, indeed...
Quote from ivanbaj:

But who was buying all the way to 133??
There was speculation (by a few supposedly knowledgeable think-tanks) that the Fed is going to pile into the long end of the curve. Clearly, some people bought this story...
 
Back
Top