Anybody else short US 30 Bond

If they go past 116....These have a little more juice to the upside, I do not think they will go much higher than 116 '08 - 116 '16.

You will be ok.

el surdo


***edited...not to confuse anybody!
 
Quote from richard_m:

I entered short on Sunday globex open at 113-26. So far I am getting zapped. Anybody else in a short "position" trade? I need cuddling.
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I've written a lot on this, and used to be a bond bear (for inflationary reasons mostly. $95 crude, 6%+ real inflation and 4% yields long duration don't quite jive)... i'm now converted. If the prognosis for the economy is lousy, I think long duration yields will gravitate towards a flattening curve in relation to the short duration (which means 30-40% upside against a short). And thats right, commodities will likely take a hit as demand slows and y/y inflation numbers will turn *negative*.

Only in hindsight will 4.0%+ yields on long term maturities seem crazy considering the condition. Thats your bull case.
 
Well..they just hit 116:eek:

30%20bond.PNG
 
bondo got smoked after TAF auction now bid strong you can not hold positions in these markets unless you can take a lot of heat, earnings and rumors cause crazy movements
 
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