Anybody else short US 30 Bond
- Thread starter richard_m
- Start date
Possibly. But if the bidder has 500bil to 1tril in his account how are you going to fair against it?
At some point it is possible that the 30 year goes to 6% while the short end is close to 0 but when? May be if the employment starts to recover?
The man is not going to allow you safe investment with good return. He want us to take more risk. The risk we took in the last bubble was not enough.
That's silly... If you think the ECB aren't engaged in mkt manipulation, albeit with very different objectives, you're very deluded indeed.
No need for insults its a debate mate. I did not say they don't manipulate - if you read again I said less ability to manipulate - becuase the EU has countries with different ecomonic models, all they share is the same currency - they cannot manipulate in any way without hurting another member's economy. e.g a week Euro is good for Germany (export economy) but bad for import oriented EU members etc. Its unlike the US or UK its one model at a time.
Bunds are reacting to PMI today / Weber´s hawkish tone and new highs in DAX.
You mean hedge fund Paulson and gang are willing to lift risky assets...
My comment was not an insult, nor should you take it as such. I said that your comment was silly, not that you're stupid.
In terms of the ability and willingness to manipulate, there's absolutely no difference to the way central banks affect mkt prices in EUR, USD, GBP etc. Recent commentary by the ECB hawks has led to the repricing in EUR, which is smth that they have been trying to achieve. Hence, they've manipulated the mkt to achieve higher short end rates, as that's what they want. Whether this helps or hurts peripheral Europe doesn't matter to the methodology of manipulation. Only difference is that the ECB is much more of a committee than the Fed, so there's less consensus and more discord. Again, this doesn't matter, as all that happens is that whichever faction is currently in power does the manipulation.
Man those 2 years are tight.