Anybody else short US 30 Bond

Quote from invertedCurve:

TIC flow data yesterday showed HUGE foreign buyers of our paper (Chinamen! "asian american is the proper nomenclature"-Big Labowski) To answer your question that depends on what your timeframe is and how much heat you can take it is normal for 10-20 tick 5 second moves on air if you are on the wrong side of that it is not good if you are well then get out or ride it!
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The Dude:
Walter, the chinaman who peed on my rug, I can't go give him a bill, so what the fuck are you talking about?

Walter Sobchak:
What the fuck are you talking about? The chinaman is not the issue here, Dude. I'm talking about drawing a line in the sand, Dude. Across this line, you DO NOT... Also, Dude, chinaman is not the preferred nomenclature. Asian-American, please.

The Dude:
Walter, this isn't a guy who built the railroads here. This is a guy...

Walter Sobchak:
What the fuck are you...?

The Dude:
Walter, he peed on my rug!

Donny:
He peed on the Dude's rug.

Walter Sobchak:
Donny you're out of your element! Dude, the Chinaman is not the issue here!


ZB is above 121 Dude - should I crap short it here?
 
Trade what you see, not what you think. Or as Livermoore said: the market is never too high to buy.

I'm not even looking at the ZB, exclusively focussed on the 10 year here. And where is the 10 year now?

Watch out if it breaks through the high of a few months ago - some shorts going to be real badly squeezed....

look what happend in Germany with the short squeeze in VW, went up xxx% in two days....

:D
Maria
 
Is this a "genuine" rally or is it just the "smart money" getting squeezed out of their well publicized trade?
(Selling 30s,10s, buying 2s, 5s)
 
122 even is the 4% yield. That's what's holding us up here.
Does anyone know where to find the yield against the projected future prices?
Say for example, what price would the bond be trading at 4.25%?
I remember there was a daily blue sheet on the floor but can't find a source now.
 
Quote from forestfire:

Is this a "genuine" rally or is it just the "smart money" getting squeezed out of their well publicized trade?
(Selling 30s,10s, buying 2s, 5s)
More...

we are nearing an "(in)decision point" where the market may either push through or reverse for some large chop (going down to 114 or so), I don't know for sure.

However if the lower timeframe experiences are anything to go by then the charts (erhh fear and greed) suggest that this is genuine and not over yet.... (never have experienced this before however so far all theories are holding up - these theories are now extrapolated into uncharted waters: the longest timeframes I ever put up....)

edit:
Perhaps we may well be reminded of Jesse Livermoore: "when the rallies come to an end the corrections will get larger and the rallies get smaller". We may see some wild swings before this all the weak hands are shaken out and the real direction becomes clear.

I just read earlier that a lot of big players are sitting on the sideline - imho them moving out of the markets have exagerated the situation - liquidity has dried up and less is required to move the markets. And the market manipulators that take the other side of our trades are all the time loading up to a certain size before reversing resulting in crazy moves before they have "their book full".


edit 2: don't be surprised if we head another full 3+ points up - it is well possible.... (looking at 8 day bars....)
M.
 
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