Quote from Rearden Metal:
If this whole episode hasn't taught all of you the difference between the Western mindset vs. the Middle Eastern mindset, nothing ever will...
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=63611&highlight=honor
Iran created this entire crisis for one specific purpose: To <b>humiliate</b> a major Western power, and in that mission they have succeeded brilliantly.
Their problem is that the humiliation only has an effect in Iran and Arab street (maybe N Korea too lol), which already supports Iran strongly anyway. The rest of the world will now see Iran as more of a rogue state. Neutrals will now be more inclined to support, or at least not oppose, future actions against Iran. The coalition will now get political support, instead of protests, for a more robust response in Iraq and the Iranian border against Iranian forces. A bombing raid on Iranian nuclear facilities is now much more likely. The rest of the Middle East (except Syria) was already getting concerned about Iran becoming a rogue power in the region, this will just intensify their concerns and make them more willing to kowtow to the US.
They have weakened their long-term goals and strategic position somewhat, in return for being able to brag to some powerless arabs for a few weeks. Not a good trade IMO. Remember their stunt with Carter? The US was humiliated for 400+ days, and suffered loss of life...but the long-term result was US backing for Iraq in the war with Iran, which neutered the ayatollahs for a whole decade. By contrast, the Brits, just by talking, got their troops back in 2 weeks. Time will tell what the long-term consequences for Iran are. But if you think other Middle East regimes like Saudi, Egypt, Kuwait, Jordan, Turkey etc are going to do anything remotely similar, I just don't see it. These are countries receiving billions in aid from the west, reliant upon them for security. The last thing they want is to encourage another potential Saddam - and not even an Arab one at that.