The British "Apple Mac" version of the story...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OC3qFtgeogE&feature=related
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OC3qFtgeogE&feature=related
AAPL: Buying the Dips!
- Thread starter cactiman
- Start date
Quote from cactiman:
APPL is in a serious long term "friendly" Uptrend, and the stock's fundamentals are great.
I added to my long position this week at 656.25, and will do so again soon, in preparation for the next rally.
How sure are you about what you are writing? I thought that 700 was the top, and that fundamentals are not good. Any comments?
Firstly, I don't think anyone can be "sure" of anything in the Stock Market.
There are always Bull vs Bear arguments for a stock, most times equally valid, and anything can happen in an unknown future to affect the stock's price.
It comes down to a personal interpretation of various fundamental, technical, and macroeconomic factors, and then making a "bet" on whether the highest probability is for the stock to move up, down or sideways in the future.
All those things considered, I've come down on the Bullish side of AAPL's fence.
I don't see 700 as the top, and think the fundamentals are very good indeed.
Why do you think the opposite?
What is the earnings % change in AAPL's latest earnings report? Why is the PE on the low side in comparison the SP500? Why are the margins decreasing? Why is the stock trading below SMA 200? If the bulls succeed to bring it back to 700, I would find it helpful if I were to decide to buy a put.
+1
AAPL Fundamentals from eIBD:
EPS % Chg (Last Qtr) 23% // P-E Ratio 13
3 Year EPS Growth Rate 77% // Debt % 0
EPS Est % Chg (Current Yr)12% // Market Cap $535.73 Bil
Sales % Chg (Last Qtr) 27% // Dividend Yield 1.9%
3-Year Sales Growth Rate 60% // Profit Margin 35.6%
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EPS Rating 98
SMR Rating A
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AAPL's PE ranged from 11.35 to 43.53 over the last 5 years, with an average of 18.62.
AAPL's current low PE compared to the SP500 seems to be a mystery to everyone.
But I'd love to see it return to its 5 year average!
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IMO:
If you're trading shorter time frames (like Swing Trading over 5-20 trading days, etc.) you could do well with contra-trend trades.
i.e. Buying Puts at the tops of rallies before pullbacks to Higher Lows.
But your timing has to be good, because the Long Term Trend (for the last 44 months) is still in place.
AAPL got as close as it possibly could to breaking that trend on 11/16/12, but was unable to do it.
Anyway, hope you make $ with your trades.
from the latest "Monday Special" eIBD:
Apple (AAPL), which accounts for 10% of the Nasdaq's weighting and has been an engine for the market for years, popped 1.7% on Friday.
The stock remains 18% off its high.
While Apple's recent correction is the sharpest in years, the decline did have a possible benefit.
Apple undercut its previous base, which resets its base count.
Any new pattern will now be stage one.
A first- or second-stage breakout is more likely to work than a breakout from a later-stage pattern.
Apple (AAPL), which accounts for 10% of the Nasdaq's weighting and has been an engine for the market for years, popped 1.7% on Friday.
The stock remains 18% off its high.
While Apple's recent correction is the sharpest in years, the decline did have a possible benefit.
Apple undercut its previous base, which resets its base count.
Any new pattern will now be stage one.
A first- or second-stage breakout is more likely to work than a breakout from a later-stage pattern.
from "Market Watch" 11/24/12:
U.S. online retail sales rose 17.4% on Thanksgiving Day, according an analysis by International Business Machines Corp. IBM.
That was followed by a 20.7% increase in online Black Friday sales.
Mobile shopping jumped, with 24% of consumers using a mobile device to visit a retailer's site, up from 14.3% last year.
Apple Inc.'s AAPL iPad tablet generated more traffic than other mobile devices, with almost 10% of online shopping.
The iPhone followed with 8.7%.
U.S. online retail sales rose 17.4% on Thanksgiving Day, according an analysis by International Business Machines Corp. IBM.
That was followed by a 20.7% increase in online Black Friday sales.
Mobile shopping jumped, with 24% of consumers using a mobile device to visit a retailer's site, up from 14.3% last year.
Apple Inc.'s AAPL iPad tablet generated more traffic than other mobile devices, with almost 10% of online shopping.
The iPhone followed with 8.7%.
Quote from cactiman:
The stock remains 18% off its high.
If the sales are up 17.4%, how would that lead to a more-than-18% rise needed to even out the 18% loss?