AAAintheBeltway honorary 2010 NFL thread.

Went 1-1 on the week, but the i won the game which wasnt a lock and lost the game which was so i lost a bit on the week.
Record for the Season 9-8
5-2 on locks.


Week 6 Point Spreads
10/17 1:00 ET San Diego -8 At St. Louis
10/17 1:00 ET At Houston -4.5 Kansas City
10/17 1:00 ET At New England -2.5 Baltimore
10/17 1:00 ET New Orleans -4 At Tampa Bay
10/17 1:00 ET At Philadelphia -2.5 Atlanta
10/17 1:00 ET At NY Giants -10 Detroit
10/17 1:00 ET At Chicago -6.5 Seattle
10/17 1:00 ET At Green Bay -3.5 Miami
10/17 1:00 ET At Pittsburgh -13.5 Cleveland
10/17 4:05 ET NY Jets -3 At Denver
10/17 4:05 ET At San Francisco -6.5 Oakland
10/17 4:15 ET At Minnesota -1.5 Dallas
10/17 8:20 ET Indianapolis -3 At Washington

Monday Night Football Point Spread
10/18 8:35 ET Tennessee -3 At Jacksonville


RECORDS AGAINST THE SPREAD
 
3 picks this week.

First Pick Atlanta at Phi -3.5

Pick: Atlanta +3.5

0-5 Sanfrancisco gave Philadelphia all they could handle last week and philly barely squeaked out a win, Kolb still has no real ability so far to get the ball down field like Vick did. Im thinking Michael Turner and the 2nd ranked running offense gets it done vs philadelphia's 24th ranked run defense.

Winner: Atlanta Lock


Second Pick NYJ -3 At Denver

Pick: NYJ -3

Same story as above, NYJ are the number 1 rushing offense in the league going up against the 25th ranked Denver run defense. Should be good for an easy road win. Plus if you were to compare the Ravens and the Jets at this point they are basically the exact same team. Ravens and jets both have mediocre QB and are fantastic at every other part of their offense/defense. Ravens beat denver by 14 last week, so the Jets should be able to roll all over them as well.

Winner: NYJ Lock


Third Pick: IND -3.5 at Washington.

Pick: IND -3.5 Lock

Just kind of betting this game on a hunch, i think that washington has played far better then they actually are at this point and Indy has played far worse then they actually are at this point.

Winner: INDY Lock


3 Picks 3 locks, max bet, pay attention boys, last time i went with three locks i went 3 for 3. :D j/k

Good luck to all on the week!
 
I like two games this week.

Detroit at NYG (-10). Nothing much to say here. I expect the Giants D line to bring more pressure than the Lions can handle. Giving the points here.

Cleveland at Pittsburg (-13.5). Rookie QB starting against the Steelers at home. That's all I need to know. Giving the 13.5.
 
Quote from AAAintheBeltway:

I like two games this week.

Detroit at NYG (-10). Nothing much to say here. I expect the Giants D line to bring more pressure than the Lions can handle. Giving the points here.

Cleveland at Pittsburg (-13.5). Rookie QB starting against the Steelers at home. That's all I need to know. Giving the 13.5.

I liked that steelers game as well, but im trying to tighten my game, after overbetting most of the season and i thought i might be getting overzealous with big ben returning, since im a steeler fan. :D

Plus i have lost twice betting against the browns so far this season. Im just worried that Tomlin might run the ball most of the game, and use this as a warmup for rapelesberger since the steelers are going to roll all over cleveland.
 
Got 4 this week

Indy -3

Payton in prime time, need I say more.

NE -2.5

Tom Brady has never lost coming off a bye week at home.

NYG -10

AAA said what everyone was thinking, the front 4 of the Giants are back. With Det 2ndary I expect a huge game from Eli.

Tampa +4

This line should be a push at best. Tampa is putting together a very good season on all sides of the ball.
 
Did you know that in the last 20 years, 15,018 players played in the NFL. Exactly 631 played for three or more seasons, according to SportsbyBrooks.

Seems like a low number. I would have thought there had been more. The league uses three years as a cut-off point to qualify for post retirement health care access from the league. The three year min keeps their costs down.

Just a stat I found interesting.
 
Quote from lescor:

Played in the NFL, or were on team rosters? I think those two numbers would be quite different.

I would assume a player who actually hits the field regularly would have a life expactancy of 8-10 years as long as they arent a running back.

That is the strange thing about it all, they literally test these guys for everything coming into the draft, strength size quickness, handsize, height weight, and then you inevitably see guys like Tom brady sneak in as a 6th round pick, while first rounders fizzle out, there are so many intangibles, which would be incredibly tough to figure out. I read something a few years ago which read somewhere along the lines, that over half of 3rd round or lower picks never even see the field during the regular season. It goes to show you that work ethic is probably one of the biggest factors in any area in life.
 
Week 6 spreads.

So far im 4-6 on the season with regular bets and 6-4 on locks which puts me at 10-10, and about break even once i factor in the vig, it has been a tough start thus far.

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
10/24 1:00 ET Pittsburgh -3 At Miami
10/24 1:00 ET At Atlanta -3.5 Cincinnati
10/24 1:00 ET At Kansas City -9 Jacksonville
10/24 1:00 ET At Tennessee -3 Philadelphia
10/24 1:00 ET At Chicago -3 Washington
10/24 1:00 ET At New Orleans -13 Cleveland
10/24 1:00 ET At Baltimore -13 Buffalo
10/24 1:00 ET San Francisco -3 At Carolina
10/24 1:00 ET At Tampa Bay -3 St. Louis
10/24 4:05 ET At Seattle -6.5 Arizona
10/24 4:15 ET At San Diego -3 New England
10/24 4:15 ET At Denver -8.5 Oakland
10/24 8:20 ET At Green Bay -2.5 Minnesota



Monday Night Football Point Spread

10/25 8:35 ET At Dallas -3 NY Giants
 
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