Ok here is my thoughts on this weeks spreads. There are alot of tough spreads out there this week, not much to pick from, but then again, usually i try to play a tighter game but i get overzealous in week 1, so maybe it is just a step back to reality for me.
First pick Baltimore -2 Over Cincinatti (rehoboth had it at -1 dont know what my bookie will give me.
This one is going to be a tough game, but Flaccos actually looked better in week1 then the stats let on, and I really think the Jets have the best defense in football.
If we break this game down piece by piece here is what it comes down to.
Quarterbacks Joe Flacco vs. Carson Palmer, advantage Flacco
Recievers: Pretty much tied, Anqaun Boldin is the best of the 4 recievers, and the best in the league once he has the ball in his hands, 2nd and third go to Ocho and T.O. fourth goes to Housh.
Running: Ravens clearly have the advantage here, they were put up against the Jets in week 1 so the numbers didnt show
Defense: Again i got to say the advantage goes to the Ravens.
Cincinatti: has home field, so it comes down to a 3-2 win for the ravens.
Only thing which worries me a bit is whether the ravens will come out flat, as they had the tendency to bounce back and foreword last year. Still i dont think the bookies give the Ravens anywhere near the respect they deserve and im a Steeler Fan.
Winner: Ravens -2, could be only -1
Second game Carolina at home -3.5 vs. Tampa Bay.
I said earlier i had no locks but im considering changing my mind for this game. Rehoboth summed it up, i cant see Carolina pulling 5 turnovers again, this was brutal to watch last week, i kept flipping back and foreword between Carolina Newyork, and Jacksonville Denver and it seemed every time i changed the channel back to the Carolina game it was a new fumble or interception.
1 less interception in the endzone, and Carolina could have won that game not just covered the spread.
Not much analysis needed, Carolina is at home this week, vs a weak Bucs team, that barely beat the browns in week 1, Carolina should roll.
I am making this game a lock.
Winner: Carolina -3.5 Lock.
Third Pick Philadelphia -6 at Detroit.
Detroit is missing their starting QB, which has to be somewhat of a downer for the entire team, plus they have a young defense. I really think this is Vicks week to prove himself and he must know what this is worth. I cant see a young detroit defense being able to figure out how to cover Vick, Vick shone last week when he came in and he looked like the Michael Vick of old, last year he was a step slower, and a pass shorter, no leg or arm speed. I think he proved himself pretty well in week 1, and i really think he is going to come out and shine this week. Expect to see a motivated Michael Vick
Detroit defense relies on pass rush and again i will reiterate, i can not see them being able to figure out Vick. This whole game will come down to Vicks play so it is somewhat in the air, but i have to pick three games a week so this is the only other one i kind of liked.
Winner Eagles -6
Obviously im holding off on this bet till saturday to make sure it is infact Vick who is starting, If Kolb decides to suck it up and play out of fear of losing his job, all bets on philadelphia are off as kolb will not be able to practice all week.
Picks:
Ravens -2 or -1 (havent talked to bookie)
Carolina -3.5 (lock which means double the bet)
Philadelphia -6
Good luck to everyone in week 2! It would be nice if we attracted some more spread betters to this thread, in years past we had 5-10 people participating. I guess in this tough stock market, the gambling junkies are saving money
