Yeah, many folks here remember the Options sellers guy's remorseful apology. It was quite pathetic. I am not saying the market does not have random chance...
In fact, what are we discussing? Was it that markets ARE random, or NOT random? Tired, I forget.
Markets seem to be turning north. Take it down 30%
Go to turkey problem again; see they’re both. Random and not random. But to us it’s random; incomplete information. Proof: black swans. No amount of available information on markets can help you predict these things. The path to the future contains unseeable land mines (known as black swans) that pop up and changes its course dramatically. Remmeber, no amount of observations of white swans (1,000-infinite) can deny the existence of a black swan. You need to be an All knowing, all seeing God viewing from a higher dimension like the butcher and the turkey to conclude that you do not see randomness(incomplete information).
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