Quote from tradermaji:
Long Buy& Hold
Starting Capital $1,000,000.00 $1,000,000.00
Ending Capital $1,500,419.46 $1,035,420.85
Net Profit $500,419.46 $35,420.85
Net Profit % 50.04% 3.54%
Annualized Gain % 10.72% 0.88%
Exposure 26.21% 99.94%
Number of Trades 1,202 28
Avg Profit/Loss $416.32 $1,265.03
Avg Profit/Loss % 0.71% 3.42%
Avg Bars Held 4.56 1,002.00
Winning Trades 1,035 9
Winning % 86.11% 32.14%
I can see it would be tempting for you to trade it, given the 86% win percentage, but I believe you need to generate more profit on your trades.
Gross Profit $1,665,510.96 $231,599.35
Avg Profit $1,609.19 $25,733.26
Avg Profit % 2.73% 71.85%
Avg Bars Held 3.56 1,002.00
Max Consecutive 56 N/A
Losing Trades 167 19
Losing % 13.89% 67.86%
Gross Loss ($1,165,091.51) ($196,178.50)
Avg Loss ($6,976.60) ($10,325.18)
Avg Loss % -11.81% -28.99%
Avg Bars Held 10.71 1,002.00
Max Consecutive 6 N/A
Max Drawdown ($143,801.75) ($1,013,600.06)
Max Drawdown % -11.33% -63.02%
Max Drawdown Date 10/7/2008 11/20/2008
Profit Factor 1.43 1.18 Yeah, see, here's where I think you're going to run into problems later on. When you start, the premise is that you double the drawdown and cut the APR in half. That's generally what you can expect going forward. If we did that, your PF would be about 1.1, and after commissions I think you see where I'm headed.
Recovery Factor 3.48 0.03
Payoff Ratio 0.23 2.48
Sharpe Ratio 1.6 0.18
Pessimistic Rate of Return 1.29 0.64
Equity Drop Ratio 0.13 6.1
Trying to edit and format for better reading.