2018 MidTerm Trends

[gwb-trading]

I have to read up on him.I know him from Bill Mahers show but not much else.

Kander or someone similar is the type of candidate the Democratic party needs in 2020 if they want to take the White House.

 

[Tony Stark]

Kander or someone similar is the type of candidate the Democratic party needs in 2020 if they want to take the White House.

You think Trump is going to get more votes in 2020 than he did in 2016?

 

[gwb-trading]

You think Trump is going to get more votes in 2020 than he did in 2016?

It all depends on who the Democrats run as a candidate, and what the Democratic messaging is.

 

[Tony Stark]

Kander or someone similar is the type of candidate the Democratic party needs in 2020 if they want to take the White House.

I don't see any of the top democrat candidates doing worst than Hillary.

 

[Tony Stark]

It all depends on who the Democrats run as a candidate, and what the Democratic messaging is.

Doubt that matters.2020 will be a complete referendum on Trump with a highly enthusiastic democrat base no matter who the democrat candidate is imo.

 

[gwb-trading]

I don't see any of the top democrat candidates doing worst than Hillary.

Well it's hard to be worse than Hillary. However a lack of proper messaging could also doom Democratic hopes in 2020. If they stick with the same old identity politics in an election against populist Trump than the Democrats will not fare well on a national basis when the EC votes are counted.

 

[Tony Stark]

Well it's hard to be worse than Hillary. However a lack of proper messaging could also doom Democratic hopes in 2020. If they stick with the same old identity politics in an election against populist Trump than the Democrats will not fare well on a national basis when the EC votes are counted.

I doubt the populist message will work for Trump in 2020.

 

[gwb-trading]

I doubt the populist message will work for Trump in 2020.

You underestimate how well his message plays in states that are not solidly Democratic on the coasts. It may be possible that Trump smashes the Democratic candidate in 2020 by even a wider margin than 2016 due to the advantage of incumbency and rabble-rousing messaging --- even if the first four years of his presidency fails to achieve most of his goals.

 

[Tony Stark]

You underestimate how well his message plays in states that are not solidly Democratic on the coasts. It may be possible that Trump smashes the Democratic candidate in 2020 by even a wider margin than 2016 due to the advantage of incumbency and rabble-rousing messaging --- even if the first four years of his presidency fails to achieve most of his goals.

I think you overestimate how well his message plays.He did not win by blowout,he won by 78,000 votes against an unpopular candidate who ran an awful campaign and was aided by The FBI and Russian hackers.His approval ratings from Nov are down and will likely still be down in 2020,manufacturing jobs wont be back,coal wont be back,there will be no great health care plan that covers everybody at a lower cost,trade deficits with Mexico and China wont be reversed etc.A lot of people will not be fooled by his BS again.

 

[gwb-trading]

I think you overestimate how well his message plays.He did not win by blowout,he won by 78,000 votes against an unpopular candidate who ran an awful campaign and was aided by The FBI and Russian hackers.His approval ratings from Nov are down and will likely still be down in 2020,manufacturing jobs wont be back,coal wont be back,there will be no great health care plan that covers everybody at a lower cost,trade deficits with Mexico and China wont be reversed etc.A lot of people will not be fooled by his BS again.

Trump Will Likely Win Reelection in 2020
https://www.usnews.com/news/nationa...nald-trump-will-likely-win-reelection-in-2020