Monday / March 16, 2020 / Midnight
Yesterday I began anew, attempting to apply WEC and Numerical Price Prediction in a more strategic manner so as to realize rewards several times the size of my risk.
In investigation how to get my percentage of winning trades back up to where it was before while still maintaining a high reward-to-risk ratio, a number of facts became clear...
First of all, if I'm going to maximize profits, full-time trading is most definitely the way to go.
Second, in analyzing the successful trades yesterday, and evaluating why nine of today's trades were successful and two were not, there emerged a very clear-cut protocol for picking entry levels that should virtually eliminate losing trades going forward.
However, it also made clear that selecting take profit targets designed to generate returns in excess of $4 per trade/position (trading 0.02-sized lots) is simply not pragmatic in that price just does not behave in this manner. It’s movement is too haphazard, with today's losses occurring when zigzagging price action saw rates double back and hit my stop losses.
Though the new protocol for picking entry levels should prevent this from happening in the future (more often than not) what is likely to occur instead is price will simply bounce back and forth making no progress at all. The way to make money is by monitoring positions and exiting trades at maximum amplitudes—as the corresponding waves are forming their crests or troughs—not by picking “pie in the sky” take-profit targets somewhere off in the distance.
If one happens to catch a wave that begins to run—fantastic! Go ahead and ride it for a $17 payoff or more. But this will be dictated by the cycles. One never knows for sure when this is going to happen, so there is no guaranteed way (with like 90% accuracy) to confidently set such targets in advance, hence the need for full-time trading if such opportunities are to be taken advantage of when offered to enjoy their benefit without damaging a near 100% success rate.
This is pretty much the same thing I've concluded in the past. But these past two days have added to the simplicity and clarity of the charts and protocols I will be using to carry it out.