These frantic last minute changes in FTT, stamp duty, stamp-duty plus, from EU-wide, to euro-zone-wide, to EZ 9+, to France only, to UK veto and stand-off ALL shows desperation and trouble for FTT proponents passing these significant tax-hike plans.
While at the same time, Europe teeters further over PIIGS and contagion. The outlook is still bleak with further austerity and lack of sufficient bailouts too.
So, the leaders are in a catch-22. On one hand, they want more tax money out of financial services, and to curb traders and banks, and focus them on supporting sovereign debt. On the other hand, banks and in trouble with downgrades and that same toxic sovereign debt, so taking money out of their hides defeats the purpose, meaning they will then need state bailouts.
So allowing banks out of FTT is convenient now that they are trying to reconcile with the UK on stamp duty, with the PLUS.
The UK has already said leave us out of it, we are not changing what we do and not turning over our stamp duty tax revenues to Brussels.
This does leave an opening for a coalition of the EU or euro zone willing on a stamp duty, with perhaps the PLUS.
The PLUS sounds like more fiscal-compact penalties to rein in the type of trading the EU leaders don't want. The UK will probably say no to that too. The exchanges won't be happy losing all that business from auto trading and HFT, either, including the Deutsch Bourse, who is now nursing their wounds after the failed NYSE Deutsche Bourse merger.
What we have going for us is that stamp duty anywhere is a mistake and obsolete. The UK should repeal it, but they can't at this time with populist outrage against banks. And, FTT is ludicrous. In the end, its more likely they will come to their senses and skip FTT, rather than plunge Europe further into crisis. But, I don't put that past them either.
The stamp-duty-Plus troubles me, but I think we should still be okay, for now. Let's see further developments of course.