Part II....
FTT would tax people twice, three, four and five times. Traders and investors already pay taxes on capital gains. Itâs for this very reason, that a leading financial official of Japan said an FTT was unfair, wrong and he would not support it.
The biggest rallying cry or populist rant for justifying a FTT is for âWall Street to pay back Main Streetâ for all the destruction they caused in the last financial meltdown. As pointed out above, equal culprits for the housing finance meltdown were politicians, Fannie Mae, the regulators who allowed it all, the Fed for easy money and predatory and unscrupulous mortgage brokers on Main Street. So, yes ask Wall Street to pay back Main Street for some of this mess, but not for all of it. FTT is a shotgun blast that hurts Main Street, rather than a rifle-shot to target Wall Street.
Many argue letâs raise money from âwhere the money isâ on Wall Street. After all, the same bankers who played a big role in the housing mess â like Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan and Deutsche Bank â are back on the gravy train paying themselves outrageous bonuses again. Peel the curtain back, on bank toxic assets (still housing and PIIGS debt), and see that banks are still in a precarious position. Many banks are teetering on the Greek crisis â the latest version of financial meltdown â and they may need to be bailed out again or allowed to fail â hopefully without contagion.
Even if you believe that Wall Street should pay the lionâs share here, itâs important to understand that Wall Street will deflect a FTT. The Dodd-Frank financial reform bill passed in July 2010 calls on banks to divest proprietary trading for their own account. The U.S. administration including President Obama and Secretary Geithner are very opposed to a FTT since it will hurt everyday Americans rather than be a cost for the banks. Secretary Geithner said an FTT would fall on the backs of retail investors, who already suffered losses in the financial markets. These include pensioners who have their pension funds invested in the markets too.
Now letâs get to the crux of the issue on why FTT may sound like free new money to social-spenders, but itâs actually a very dangerous idea that can further sink the economy and markets, cause a bigger and more extended recession, and lead to much less fund raising for charities too boot. Just as with the housing crisis, well-intended political heavy-handed policies will likely hurt rather than help the targets of their good will.
How exactly so? Remember the âflash crashâ from May 2010? Per Wikipedia, â..On Monday May 6, 2010 in which the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged about 900 points - or about nine percent - only to recover those losses within minutes. It was the second largest point swing, 1,010.14 points,[2] and the biggest one-day point decline, 998.5 points, on an intraday basis in Dow Jones Industrial Average history.â Fundamentally, while the world waited to hear the results of the EU and IMFâs negotiations to bailout Greece â the first time â that weekend the worldâs stock market players grew extremely nervous over a Lehman-style contagious financial meltdown.
Regulators and Congress conducted a serious study of this event to find the causes and to change the rules to prevent this from happening again. The study showed that the flash crash was not a suspected âfat fingerâ (erroneous) trade, but rather the result of high-frequency traders (HFT) disappearing from the markets. I am referring to the high-speed computerized trading programs that are the claimed evil-doers of the day, who some allege come into wreak havoc in the markets and cause undue speculation. FTT-enthusiasts including religious authorities argue they are doing âGods workâ to clean the house of evil speculators. Again, itâs the opposite of public perception and another example of half-cocked thinking and new regulations causing more harm than good.
Quick history lesson first. In the old days, traders stood around in trading pits on the exchange to trade in person with hand signals and grunts. Sounds quaint and honest, but often times it was anything but. Think of the film âTrading Placesâ with Eddie Murphy, playing outrageous fun, games and fraud in the pits. Trading moved to electronic exchanges, lowering costs and improving efficiency and fairness.
This makes sense, but who are the traders on these electronic exchanges? Itâs the electronic âmarket makersâ â the people to buy when we everyday people want to sell a stock or futures contract? Or to sell, when we want to buy? The reality is that the market-makers are significantly comprised of HFT traders.
Back to the lesson of the flash crash. That day, many important HFT companies decided to walk away from the market action, and presto we had a flash crash, since liquidity disappeared. The biggest contributing cause of any meltdown is loss of liquidity. Thatâs what quantitative easing is all about, the Fed proving new liquidity to banks. To fix the flash crash problem, we need to help HFT respect their role as market-maker and to be there for us when needed and not disappear. Why hit them with a new FTT that will surely put them out of business and dry up liquidity? Seems plain counterproductive or some could say stupid.
Now is not the time to pass a liquidity-killing tax in the financial markets. The same conditions that precipitated the flash crash â a Greek meltdown threatening contagion through PIIGS and throughout the EU and even the rest of the world â are happening again just one year later. There is little hope for an immediate fix to these problems, the can is being kicked down the road and itâs a problem to deal with for a decade. Regulators have other much-better-refined tools to address excess speculation, like increasing margin requirements and capital, and clearing derivatives on exchanges.
Think of FTT as a match that would light a forest fire. Yes, you would collect FTT as the tree burned down, but you wouldnât collect it a second time after the forest mostly disappears. FTT is calculated on collecting it a 1,000 times, but again, you will collect it only once.
An FTT-induced market meltdown will lead to a severe recession and maybe depression in the developed world. That will kill off all sorts of taxes including income taxes, property and sales taxes and death taxes too. Charitable contributions will also dry up and charities will face much greater needs from the poor. Isnât FTT just plain short-sided, half-cocked, mean-spirited, and misdirected thinking?
end of Part II