Search results

  1. L

    Confused by the inflation news - effect on Forex?

    you can model it
  2. L

    Confused by the inflation news - effect on Forex?

    BoE stated they may raise rates soon, which would be before the Fed and ECB. FX trades on rate differentials and trends towards long term ppp equilibrium (law of one price).
  3. L

    What is that one thing that has been a game changer for you?

    Treynor/Bagehot's paper, "The Only Game in Town". This video is a great explanation of it: Who Makes Money in the Stock Market (The Only Game in Town) - YouTube
  4. L

    10 Years of Manufacturing PMI Data needed

    I’ll give you the data in a csv for $ :D
  5. L

    Supply Chain Issues

    Ports also have not been fully staffed because of Covid outbreaks and not enough workers, so they are pulling cargo more slowly. This has resulted in more containers being stuck on ships, driving a shortage of containers. On the semiconductor front, a lot of components are made in south east...
  6. L

    Stock falls on profit taking?

    Any number of things — mainly random aggregations of orders. Institutions by and large trade dark or through algos that track a % of adv. Anyone telling you that a spike in volume is institutional buying is lying to you. I’m not saying that there aren’t ways to track institutional buying, but...
  7. L

    Stock falls on profit taking?

    Well right now you’re just guessing that an increase in volume is an institution. How good are your guesses? Probably about 50%. Maybe less. ‍♂️
  8. L

    Stock falls on profit taking?

    Most trades aren't happening in lit exchanges so whatever you are seeing on the chart of volume is lagging. For retail traders, it means not using price as your thesis unless you're trading momentum, in which case it's all about the slope of change (and needs to be managed very actively).
  9. L

    Market observations and actions

    no yes
  10. L

    Market observations and actions

    higher. out-of-the-money means above today's at-the-money strike price. in-the-money means below.
  11. L

    Market observations and actions

    buy otm calls on spy expiring in early Nov, you're welcome.
  12. L

    Stock falls on profit taking?

    like this guy? Takashi Kotegawa Turned $13K Into $153M! - Timothy Sykes
  13. L

    Stock falls on profit taking?

    Generally, financial media is absolute shit except in providing quick access to information. Explaining why something happened is not in their forte so don't look to them for answers. Knowing why something is happening is an informed insight that can be a trading opportunity. The people who...
  14. L

    Cathy Woods - ARK Investment

    there are... MTUM, QMOM, etc.
  15. L

    Stock falls on profit taking?

    Yeah it's a bullshit phrase. Very few people know enough about market microstructure, order flow, and how to analyze information to accurately comment on why a stock price is down. Generally, you can assume volume side mismatch (more sellers than buyers) and when a clear catalyst (usually just...
  16. L

    Now that's a President!

    wait have you actually heard him talk? Trump says on #AxiosOnHBO that he didn't bring up Russian bounty scheme on Putin call - YouTube Trump's Mind-Numbing Interview with Axios | NowThis - YouTube
  17. L

    Artificial Intelligence for Traders?

    if you are using ai to build robust causal (econometrics) models then that would be useful. if you're just doing basic things like fitting rsi or moving averages, then it's useless (and there are already plenty of websites and services that do this such as bettertrader.co).
  18. L

    Sell Strategy

    what is your rational for buying / selling in the first place? what is the underlying phenomena you are trying to capture? tie your buy/sell signals to that.
  19. L

    Supply Chain Issues

    jesus christ you guys don't do any research do you lol Airline traffic: just about 70% of 2019 levels customer deliveries (if it takes longer, then +50, if it takes shorter, then below 50) from purchasing managers index survey: container activity at ports: consumers are spending money:
  20. L

    News Expert Advisor

    Price adjusts within 50 milliseconds of news… I don’t think a blunt tool will help you unless you have a model of over/underreaction.
Back
Top