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    Conservative Options Trades

    AGCO: http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/127411/agco-slips-to-strong-sell http://finance.yahoo.com/news/earnings-beat-agco-shares-fall-142003944.html http://finance.yahoo.com/news/farm-machinery-maker-agcos-profit-151524758.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=AGCO+Key+Statistics...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    MTN: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bear-day-vail-resorts-mtn-050024280.html;_ylt=AqW_oYfOfwWfL7CnEbGw4BqhuYdG;_ylu=X3oDMTExbmMxdW9xBG1pdAMEcG9zAzI3BHNlYwNNZWRpYVRvcFN0b3J5VGVtcA--;_ylg=X3oDMTBhYWM1a2sxBGxhbmcDZW4tVVM-;_ylv=3 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=MTN+Key+Statistics...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    SYK: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/stryker-raised-strong-buy-180008352.html http://finance.yahoo.com/news/stryker-flexes-medtech-muscles-153300878.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=SYK+Key+Statistics http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=SYK...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    KRFT: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/krafts-4q-profit-rises-sales-220033872.html (have you ever had that macaroni and cheese dinner?? better you should eat the box) http://finance.yahoo.com/news/krafts-top-line-pressures-continue-174004496.html...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    RAVN: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/raven-down-strong-sell-190008676.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=RAVN+Profile http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=RAVN+Key+Statistics http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=RAVN...
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    Why american deep ITM call has time value?

    I just happen to be doing CYS this am: CYS: Right now At 8.61 Buy the june 8.00 call, sell the june 8.00 put for a net credit of $36 Short the stock at 8.61 At expiration: Price........................Options...............Short stock................Net...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    SPY: continued http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=spy Sept 165/160 bull put spread for a net credit of $58 Yield = 58/442 = 13.1% in 183 days or 26.2% annualized Prob = 93% Expectation = .93(58) - .03(442) - .04(221) = 53.94 - 13.26 - 8.84 = 31.84 Price....................Profit /...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    Update: Sept 200/205 bear call spread for a net credit of $73 Yield = 73/427 = 17.1% in 183 days or 34.1% annualized Prob = 79% Expectation = .79(73) - .13(427) - .08(213) = 57.67 - 55.51 - 17.04 = -15 Nothing much has changed in the past 5 days... still looks like we will be flat to...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    ODP: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/office-depot-now-strong-sell-195352147.html http://finance.yahoo.com/news/office-depot-misses-q4-earnings-174005284.html...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    Crimea: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-putin-said-about-crimea-kremlin-transcript-2014-03-18?dist=lcountdown http://www.marketwatch.com/story/weak-sanctions-dont-put-any-pressure-on-russia-2014-03-17?dist=afterbell...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    GIS: http://www.thestreet.com/_yahoo/video/12529932/general-mills-misses-not-organic-enough-for-consumers.html?cm_ven=YAHOOV&cm_cat=FREE&cm_ite=NA&s=1 http://www.thestreet.com/story/12532774/1/general-mills-can-still-satisfy-earnings-preview.html...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    IP: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bear-day-international-paper-ip-050027968.html http://www.cnbc.com/id/101417438?__source=yahoo%257cfinance%257cheadline%257cheadline%257cstory&par=yahoo&doc=101417438%257cStorms+cost+International http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=IP+Key+Statistics...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    Crimea: http://www.voanews.com/content/reu-russian-professor-compares-russias-actions-to-nazi-annexation-of-austria/1864112.html http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anschluss
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    What does Karen the Supertrader and her results say about volatility? Oversold?

    Texas Hedge: — n the opposite of a normal hedging operation, in which risk is increased by buying more than one financial instrument of the same kind Kind of insulting to Texans isn't it ?? I guess it's OK since they wouldn't get it anyway.
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    Conservative Options Trades

    Crimea: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/crimeans-overwhelmingly-vote-secession-203643295.html The Russians are happy... but there was never any doubt. Russia took Crimea before the vote was held. Can a state secede from a union?? In 1861 13 states seceded from the US...
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    What does Karen the Supertrader and her results say about volatility? Oversold?

    Why are you so confident that she does all these things??? I trade very much like her BUT I do hedge, etc. Am I certain that adding all the cautions actually improves profitability?? NO. I THINK so... but I have not run exhaustive comparative tests to be certain. Of course it...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    SPY http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=spy http://www.thestar.com/business/personal_finance/investing/2014/03/14/sign_of_a_market_top_as_more_investors_buy_stocks_on_margin.html...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    Ukraine and Crimea : Update http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/14/world/europe/ukraine.html?_r=0 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=spy That long red downer may finally mark the end of the bull market I have one thing to say: Borschst
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    Conservative Options Trades

    TEVA: http://news.investors.com/030614-692319-teva-stock-rises-on-leerink-upgrade.htm?ven=yahoocp&src=aurlled&ven=yahoo http://finance.yahoo.com/news/teva-fda-nod-generic-evista-200752901.html...
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    Probability and Std Deviations

    Try Wilmott forum for the real propeller head stuff. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sTUIHK7gHRE
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