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    is there ever a good time to average down?

    Entirely depends on your position size. If you have a stock position that's initially 1% of your portfolio, then it fall to 0.5% of your portfolio, and you average down by doubling it back to 1%, it's doesn't appreciably impact your ability to continue "playing the game". If you start with an...
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    Russia & Ukraine

    Zero surprise here really: https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/01/russian-pranksters-reveal-odes-to-putin-were-translations-of-nazi-verse Russia is functionally indistinguishable from Nazi Germany at this point.
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    2025: The Year Of Our Lord.

    Thanks, will have a look. [on first glance it looks solid, bookmarked] A rather good Swedish 1-man aggregator/blogger (unashamedly pro-Ukrainian and hence a tendency towards selective and speculative reporting, but striving to be factually correct) is https://cornucopia.se/ (Google Translate)...
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    Ukraine Corruption

    More of the same: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-67687449
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    Immunity

    The SCOTUS just granted Joe Biden dictatorial powers through this ruling. He can of course use them to fix the SCOTUS.
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    2025: The Year Of Our Lord.

    Yeah that is the premise. For sure, that's going to hurt. But Russia is in a pretty bad shape, all things considered: Very close to being out of tanks. Artillery has been on a clear down trend. The non-war economy is tanking. Official statistics of course seek to tell a different story...
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    Russia & Ukraine

    Turns out orcs have poor sanitation: https://news.online.ua/en/cholera-and-typhus-are-spreading-rapidly-in-the-russian-army-in-ukraine-881095/ Diseases have defeated invading armies in the past...
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    Is AI trading effective?

    What data you feed into your model is generally far more interesting than the model itself. You *can* solve the problem of mapping input data to trading behaviors with "AI" (super wide term), among other tools, but because AI is the cool word right now plenty of people are likely throwing it...
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    2025: The Year Of Our Lord.

    What's your reasoning on Ukraine falling in 2025? The wrecked energy infra?
  10. S

    June Presidential Debate

    Biden was the one having a spectacularly ill timed bad day. But it ain't a pretty setup for the election either way with the "choice" being too old versus too old. The Democrats could do worse than replacing Biden at this juncture. Because he's just not going to win after this performance.
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    Shocking New Video Shows ATACMS Bomblets Raining Down On Russian Beachgoers

    You respond with something completely irrelevant to the quote. Nonwithstanding that, Russia used them first and Ukraine bomb their own territory (includes Crimea) exclusively until very recently. I follow this war daily since it's in a neighboring country. Meanwhile you guys look very...
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    Shocking New Video Shows ATACMS Bomblets Raining Down On Russian Beachgoers

    Sure, it has even happened a few times by now that people were hurt due to Russian attempts (successes and failures alike) to shoot down incoming Ukrainian munitions. But that's the way war is. If you're going to a vacation inside a warzone, it's not possible to be perfectly safe from collateral...
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    Shocking New Video Shows ATACMS Bomblets Raining Down On Russian Beachgoers

    You have missed there is an active bombing campaign to take out Russian air defenses and other military installations in Crimea? It is hit daily.
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    Shocking New Video Shows ATACMS Bomblets Raining Down On Russian Beachgoers

    1) ZH is a site well known as linked to the Russian propaganda machinery. 2) Russia shot down the ATACMS, hence fragments rained on their civilians (who are on vacation in occupied territory while a war is going on, brilliant idea). Video in question: Look, if this munition actually was...
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    what happens if people managing ETF's 'collapse'?

    Speaking of XIV, it was an ETN, which is basically an unsecured promise of a financial institution to deliver certain return characteristics. My understanding is ETFs hold assets in a segregated account at a custodian, which is a bit of a guardrail from the provider failing. Of course a...
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    Russia & Ukraine

    Inline with expectations:
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    Larry Connors' 2-day RSI Holy Grail: adapting a strategy to deliver 30% annual return since 1999

    Agreed. Although I should add I find his (her?) posts are pretty good by ET standards since he make specific claims that can be tested. I'll go and backtest all of his strats in a year or something with new data as it should be pretty fun to see forward performance.. have a hunch it will "go...
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    Russia & Ukraine

    Are you able to grasp this simple argument: that there will not be lasting peace if a dictator is rewarded for attempting to conquer a country? If you do agree, then you are the warmonger. If you don't agree, you are a total imbecile. I don't think you are a complete imbecile but that makes...
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    4th largest shareholder of GME: Roaring Kitty

    Anecdotally, I noted an article today about one of the biggest banks in Sweden having GME as their largest position in a particular tech fund... The fund AUM was just like $7 million though when I checked so small potatoes. But yeah there's institutional trading in this.
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