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  1. O

    ES Journal - 2014

    short here with confidence based on RSI 14 this is the most SP500 has been overbought since May of last year when it quickly pulled back 6% 1700/ to 1550. in addition its also hitting the top of channel that extends and is respected from April of2012.. No catalyst necessary.. the first...
  2. O

    ES Journal - 2014

    sorry 1921!! not sure what i was looking at.. anyways.. 20 points higher without looking back
  3. O

    ES Journal - 2014

    the low on ES this morning was 1913.5.. a healthy pullback from 1932 yesterday
  4. O

    ES Journal - 2014

    i was making a general comment.. not directed at you or anyone.. point is.. the markets (ES/ZN/NQ.. whatever) could move big tomorrow on NFP
  5. O

    ES Journal - 2014

    like Visari was quoted earlier.. you need to also look a the fundamentals.. tomorrow is NFP.. and that has the potential to move the market higher regardless of whether the number is a beat/miss.. a short at 1935 is looking better than 1920 yesterday but 1950 is a real possibility. ive been...
  6. O

    Can I get one of you to verify my 600% Return over One Month?

    how old are you.. 12? its not impressive at all
  7. O

    The most consistent fund eva!

    investment management business is filled with clowns.. its all about sucking on the management fee
  8. O

    ES Journal - 2014

    with excess liquidity i am very comfortable holding a short position at these levels based on my assessment of macro risks and equity valuations.. however i do believe there is a real possibility this runs to ~1935 in the next few weeks and 2000 by August, absent any downside catalyst.. from a...
  9. O

    ES Journal - 2014

    up 7points on a holiday is a joke.. by the open tomorrow this will come back to unchanged or at least test 1900
  10. O

    ES Journal - 2014

    hey guys.. its been a while.. looking to short ES a little higher from here (1915).. first target would be 1865.. some interesting macro moves lately.. looks like EUR is rolling over while CL is breaking out.. volatility should pick up in the next few weeks.. s
  11. O

    what is the connection between the nominal underlying price and and risk profile

    well the question is a bit more complex.. a stock like NFLX or GOOG can move through numerous strikes during a trading day / week and the dynamics of the greeks change when an option goes into the money. for a $10 dollar stock with strike prices at 50 cent intervals (5% move).. only a...
  12. O

    what is the connection between the nominal underlying price and and risk profile

    PCLN @1000 FB @ 50 strike prices for PCLN have $5 dollars intervals (0.50% move) strikes for FB at $0.50 intervales (1.0% move) options move in/ out of money easier.. how does it affect risk profile ?
  13. O

    CL Redux

    i dont know how anyone can hold a short position right now.. the risk is to the upside and this can go higher on many things. situation in egypt equity markets break up - for whatever reason any strong economic data - europe growth/ china production commodity rotation inflation risk...
  14. O

    ES Journal - 2013

    all i have to say in defense of ammo is that i give him the benefit of the doubt as he has been posting here for years with the same method-apparently... if it wasnt working.. he would be broke many times over.. consistent and dedicated posting leaves me to believe he has a real account.
  15. O

    ES Journal - 2013

    im looking to get short this week.. still think this could push a bit higher through the next few days.. contemplating puts on IWM/ QQQ/ SPY.. which one would you short? curious that QQQ broke out into new highs while the tech sector ETF XLK is approaching a double top. IBB etf biotech...
  16. O

    Is SPY due for a Pullback?

    im long puts on a few indicies.. looking for 4%-6% move down
  17. O

    Check out small caps ETF run up like IWM

    im wont call a top to this bull market.. but a short trade on all indicies should be good for 3%-5% based on my TA. the big story right now is all the big tech companies missing estimates and guiding lower.. the most bullish investors and traders still take profits and rebalance at some point
  18. O

    Patterns should self-destruct

    the reality about big funds selling is that they start rebalancing much earlier then just the last week of dec
  19. O

    Smoking weed and trading

    if you have access to quality dispensary stuff then sure..
  20. O

    OMG! Where are the REGULATED Binary brokers who accept USA clients

    this.. nadex survives because its tries to pass on its gimmick as being something special.
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