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    Selling naked puts option strategy

    I was wondering the same about the results. They are usually pretty good about putting them up, but still no results for October. I almost wonder if they are still in business.
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    Ag trade ideas

    Oh, ok. Another broker in the office uses that report. I didn't realize it was the same company.
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    Ag trade ideas

    Hey Trad: Where is that daily livestock report from Steiner? I looked around on their website, couldn't find it. I may not be looking in the right place.
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    KC Wheat/Chicago Wheat Spread Negative?

    Anyone see what this spread has done over the past week? Basically back to even. I think there were a bunch of deliveries for Chicago wheat which was really bearish.
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    Ag trade ideas

    Yeah, that's what another broker I work with said. I usually think that type of reasoning is baloney, but there might be something to it here.
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    Ag trade ideas

    Yeah, what is up with that. Looking brutal.
  7. T

    Ag trade ideas

    Nah, I was in it already. It was recovering nicely last week too!
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    Ag trade ideas

    That KWZ/ZWZ spread is not looking so hot today. Is it the exports driving it?
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    Ag trade ideas

    Trad: What do you think of that KEZ-ZWZ spread? I keep waiting for it to break out up, but it seems stalled out.
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    Ag trade ideas

    Seems like the entire commodity complex is trying real hard to turn around, but can't quite get it done. Anyone else notice the volatility skew in Chicago wheat options, especially in January? Maybe this is a historical thing due to wheat rallies during that period but the implied volatility...
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    Ag trade ideas

    TraD: Long KWZ/ZWZ @ -8.5. The unusual discount is even making headlines in Agrimoney. I went long that spread for a customer. about 2 weeks ago. It was painful there for a while. Now, it's recovered some. Kind of want to get out.
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    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    New to this thread, but it seems like the best place to put this question. Is there a weird divergence between SPX and the VIX right now? SPX down 0.72% right now and the VIX is down 1.67%.
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    Ag trade ideas

    Any thoughts on selling the GFV15-GVH16 spread? Have a cattle producer short some feeder and live cattle contracts already. Thought this might be a way to get some additional downside exposure without having too much risk to the upside.
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    Ag trade ideas

    Haven't been around these parts for a while. Trying to help some cattle producers from losing their pants with this drop in prices. I use R too, Rachmaninov, but clearly I am not nearly as good as you are with it. I do some basic time series analysis stuff. It's a very powerful program, not the...
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    Ag trade ideas

    Limit down on feeder cattle today. I had a person short a September contract a few weeks ago. I thought for sure it was going to bounce off of $206, but then we blew through that support level.
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    Ag trade ideas

    Grains got hammered again after the USDA report yesterday. Anyone looking at the ZCZ15 to ZCZ16 spread? Looks to me like it might be a buying opportunity. Can't go too much further down in terms of carry, I would think.
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    Ag trade ideas

    Wow, grains are bloody red today. USDA raised yields way over expectations.
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    Ag trade ideas

    Anyone watching the lean hogs? There is a huge spread between the August, which expires here shortly, at $77 and the December at $59. I have read there is some bearish news w/ Russia banning imports.
  19. T

    Selling naked puts option strategy

    I track the VIX, but not the other volatility indicators you mentioned. That is a good idea to compared the derived curve of those indicators versus the actual curve. One drawback to this strategy in general, especially with selling credit spreads, is the ultra-low VIX. I understand how mean...
  20. T

    Selling naked puts option strategy

    Very interesting. Putting aside the bull market, does the volatility skew have something to do w/ calls not being as profitable as puts? Here is the interview I have read with Rao, starts on page 19 or so: http://www.premiacap.com/news/OFI25Jul2013.pdf He is modeling the volatility, more or...
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