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  1. M

    The ACD Method

    Pivot tracker for S&P 4/26 4/27 4/30 4.08 .42 .08 Since we have 3 days of shrinking value, increased VOLATILITY/BREAKOUT is expected. 30 days and 12 days number lines have been getting weak 30 day =7 12 day= 1 ABCD values for last 7 days starting 04-20...
  2. M

    The ACD Method

    No, i did not ask for the calculation of the method. I will call again and see if i can figure out the method.
  3. M

    The ACD Method

    CORRECTION: After talking with Shandu today at Logical trader, my explanation of 30 day Cum +/- is wrong. It has nothing to do with 30 day cycle. It is a number they use to calculate 30 day Cum ABCD along with daily ABCD number. Since all of you calculate and maintain your own numbers and...
  4. M

    The ACD Method

    Hi Shanb, Here is my update on pivot tracker. I talked with help desk of logical trader. For pivot tracker to be helpful in gauging VOLATILITY of an instrument, we need 3 days of contraction. For example, 24, 16, 8. If the numbers are like 4, 1 ,1 . It does not mean much as on the...
  5. M

    The ACD Method

    04-28-2012. Coffee at 10 year support. 30 days number line is -1 but has improved form being at -17 couple of weeks ago. Details of number lines can be seen at number lines pdf posted 2 days ago.
  6. M

    The ACD Method

    I only trade Crude and narrow pivot tracker value in majority of the cases means high volatility within a day or two. You can look at the pivot tracker sheet for your instrument and look back and see if low numbers gave signals towards increased volatility.
  7. M

    The ACD Method

    How many failed A downs we had week of 04-23 to 04-27-2012 for Crude Oil? To me it looks like BIG MONEY has been buying crude every time it came down- at least this week and that's all i look at as a day trader. I do look at weekly, monthly charts also but daily to 30 minutes to 15...
  8. M

    The ACD Method

    Thanks. I was thinking about it. Can you post 5 days rolling values for Crude?
  9. M

    The ACD Method

    Pivot tracker. Lower the value - higher the VOLATILITY is expected. I find this sheet very helpful.
  10. M

    The ACD Method

    1) yes for 4/26 for ES 30 day Cum ABCD is +9. ABCD value is +2. 2) 30 day Cum +/- refers to Fish theory of 30 days cycle. He observed that pattern/price action repeats itself every 30 days. He says he doe not know why it happens but it repeated enough time that he started paying...
  11. M

    The ACD Method

    Here is 30 days number line . I am still not 100% sure how to use number lines when values are at 24, 24, 26 etc. For the time being i just focus on when they hit +9 for the first time after being 0, +1 etc. Looks like Nat gas may hit +9 soon.
  12. M

    The ACD Method

    Hi Mav, I did not mean number lines are showing weakness right now. I remember In Feb/March there were weeks when numbers lines were week but bonds kept going up, equities kept going and typically bond market is ahead in terms of giving clues into things to come. I keep...
  13. M

    The ACD Method

    Hi ammo, I try not to fade 30 days number line when it is strong regardless whether it is end of the month. If 30 days number line is strong and CL is not responding as expected then I fade. Just like lot of traders number lines has been showing underlying weakness in different...
  14. M

    The ACD Method

    1) Crude has 200 ticks moves every day. What i have found out that on 70% of the days it is a slow move from one side to the other and one has to hold for 30 or more minutes to make 40 ticks or more. 2) DOE report days have become my favorite days to trade. 3) Trading is going good. I...
  15. M

    The ACD Method

    Yes, i am on Big mike as i announced and posted on my ET journal What's the question? I will try not to repeat but i do not claim to post every post earth shattering. My post about quote from Keynes/Wycoff is nothing new either. Everyone must have read those quotes it in the...
  16. M

    The ACD Method

    Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face - Mike Tyson The taste of one’s own blood after getting punched in the face… A small percentage of traders will learn over time from their own mistakes and will begin to act counter to their own hard wired and detrimental...
  17. M

    The ACD Method

    From "The logical trader". In case someone thinks ACD is a HOLY GRAIL. " Of the 4,000 people i attempted to teach, we'll say half of them fell asleep in a class or in general had no serious interest. That leaves about 2,000 who paid attention long enough to learn something. Of this group...
  18. M

    The ACD Method

    ACD: When the market is trending, you don't want to be a liquidity provider, you want to be a liquidity taker. ACD Methodology is good at getting you into the right frame of mind for trading this type of market. You want to get amped up. You are competing with other traders and you...
  19. M

    The ACD Method

    BEAUTY CONTEST?
  20. M

    The ACD Method

    Thanks Shanb. It's 5.16 pm and Fast Money host asked Joe that he looks subdued after AAPL numbers. Joe went into his STUPID little speech with FACE drawn out down like a loser but saying that he basically had no interest in AAPL for 2 months. Why the fuck he has been talking...
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