The ACD Method

Quote from Maverick74:

Can anyone make sense of the number line attachment MBF posted? I tried looking at the soybeans number since I felt that was by far the strongest product right now and none of those numbers listed were strong. Anyone have any ideas?
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You're not the only one Mav. I subscribed to the free trial for the allotted period, and I got to tell you, most of what was made available to me was Greek.

Now that said, I know I don't have the experience that half of you guys have here with this stuff, so I AM SURE THIS PLAYED A LARGE ROLE...

Take for instance the Yen. If I read this right, (and granted I may not be) it looks like the "net" is the number line value? Well why would it be -23 on the 24th and 56 on the 20th?

Ok then, let's say it's the 30 day cum ABCD value, on the 25th, you have a 6. But in the line titled "# needed to +/-9" it says that in order to reach +/- 9, all you need is a 1...

:confused:

G'faaaw?
 
The call for AAPL and the fed being the main catalyst/drivers for the
week were balls dead on by Maverick. I read much in this thread about
using an event , any time, any day, in this case maybe 4pm Tues to
2:30 pm Wed as opening range ACD levels.
Everone probably does this anyway but this context or structure is
a new way of thinking of it to me. No telling how high
or long we go from there but those events were a big change in price action.
The rub is looking at the right catalysts and following price.
Some may say just follow price.
 
1) yes for 4/26 for ES 30 day Cum ABCD is +9. ABCD value is +2.

2) 30 day Cum +/- refers to Fish theory of 30 days cycle. He

observed that pattern/price action repeats itself every 30 days.

He says he doe not know why it happens but it repeated enough

time that he started paying attention. So, for 4/26 value of -1

means that there is a probability of that on 4/27 pattern will get

repeated. I have so far not seen the value of this number. The

number of times this value produced anything seems to be

random. I just learned about this a month ago.

I will urge you to call Shandu at mnfcc at 516-295-7924. He is the

new guy who answers questions regarding ACD. You do not have

to be a subscriber. He will answer any questions on ACD.

The main reason I will like you to call him to get a sense of pivot

tracker. I find this sheet to be quite helpful. I do not understand

how they calculate it even though he explained it to me.


Pivot tracker sheet is attached.


3) Regarding beans. I have seen this happen many times when

30 days number lines looks bad but price action is different.

However price action is not smooth till number line firms up.

Meaning lot of failed A ups etc..


4) Can you post 5 day rolling numbers for Crude oil?


Thx





Quote from Maverick74:

MFB, thanks for posting the file! Just so I am reading this right, is the 30 day number line for ES +9? Is it the 30 day cum ABCD line? I never know which line is which when I look at that.
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Quote from Shanb:

As a daytrader the 30 days arent going to help you alot...might be more useful to look at it through another lens ;).

Lets say you are trading the energy complex, you could have rolling 5 day to see how they are all stacking up ;),
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Thanks. I was thinking about it. Can you post 5 days rolling values for Crude?
 
How many failed A downs we had week of 04-23 to 04-27-2012 for

Crude Oil? To me it looks like BIG MONEY has been buying crude

every time it came down- at least this week and that's all i look

at as a day trader. I do look at weekly, monthly charts also but

daily to 30 minutes to 15 minutes and 1 minute is where RUBBER

MEETS THE ROAD for me.
 

Attachments

Quote from mfbreakout:

Thanks. I was thinking about it. Can you post 5 days rolling values for Crude?
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The 5 day rolling number line for Crude is +3. But it has picked up momentum lately. Five days ago it was -10.

On my monthly number line which re-sets at the beginning of each month is -3. The range on the monthly has been -6 and +4. I consider strong signals to be +/- 7. So the monthly number line shows the choppiness crude has had this month.

My 30 day rolling number line is +5 which reset to zero 3 days ago.
 
Thanks for the contact MF, and I appreciate your explanation of the commodity sheet. Guess I'm still a little perplexed on the "number needed to +/- 9" but I'll keep tracking my number line as I have been.

Many thanks
 
Quote from Quon:

Thanks for the contact MF, and I appreciate your explanation of the commodity sheet. Guess I'm still a little perplexed on the "number needed to +/- 9" but I'll keep tracking my number line as I have been.

Many thanks
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Yeah Quon, I don't understand that either. My math might be a little rusty. :)

This is why I started creating my own number lines. At least I know why and how the numbers add up.
 
Quote from mfbreakout:

Pivot tracker.


Lower the value - higher the VOLATILITY is expected. I find this sheet very helpful.
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Have you found there to be a good correlation between volatility and the pivot trader numbers? Any examples?

Now I went over this pivot tracker sheet before and couldnt make anything of it....no idea how they are coming up with these numbers lol
 
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