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I see. And where did you learn these “facts”? What stats are you referring to? Based on china and south korea (if we can trust their data) this thing has the probability to peak after about 3 weeks after it took off exponentially (which is the end of this week actually). So, well see if it...

I came to the same conclusion. I mean really, 3500 cases vs 46M :) Everyone is out buying toilet paper, what kind of universe is this?

And all this because of 3500 cases of corona? Am i missing something? Why is it such a panic? You get about 43M of flu cases per year and noone bats an eye

Well thats something you dont see everyday

Nah, i think you got my idea wrong. If there's no underlying need for you to get out of a market WHATEVER the price is then you will be fine forever. It's just that when people assume certain things and then rely 100% on that assumption hoping for a free lunch then it'll usually turn against...

Almost everything in your post is wrong, distorted/skewed with your opinion if not BS all together. VIX peaked around 96 in oct '08 whereas today so far it has peaked to around 77. The move back in '08 to peak VIX was from 1300 to around 820, That's about 37% drop not 50% as you state. The...

It's exactly this kind of thinking that "nothing can happen, everything can be bailed out forever" that makes the future of markets more fragile. So, if u pile up with leverage thinking that everything will be bailed out then the market will take another 30% dive just to get you out and then...

Buy and sell the same strike put? Dude, wtf? That’s bid/ask for that strike, it’s the same as if you were suggesting to buy and sell ES simulatenously.

that's a skewed straddle favouring downward delta. It basically has the same value as saying "buy when stochastic crosses upwards and sell when downwards." No edge in that activity. That's not a hedge, that's called closing a position (or partially closing a position)

Again, you are asking for some magical fairy dust. If there were cheaper alternative to market prices then you’d have an arbitrage opportunity by buying the fairy dust and selling market Btw, buying stock and simultaneously buying puts is the same as simply buying a call. And yes, that kind of...

Your request is a little bit odd. What are you expecting ? To get a price better than the market ? Options have a market price, doesn't matter what's your options strategy. All options are nothing but puts and calls which you buy or sell (leaving everything else out atm for simplicity). Trading...

Sure, theoretically. I think we're all misjuding the reasons behind market moves. If everybody were buying insurance and betting downside with put option buying then the market wouldn't go down one cent. Cause you are already PRICING the downside with your premium that you pay. So, you are most...

Market isn’t the same as it’s been a decade ago. Supply has become waay smarter, faster and more efficient to take the other side of your position. He has no need to get out of the position while u do. Which way do u think the price will go then? Everybody knows that you want to buy gold in...

Who knows what the combo behind this trade could be. Doubt that with this kind of sum, someone just throws out an idea of "hey, let's go for a 100". Who knows, though, anything is possible, maybe he knows there are tons of stops underneath in the SP500 which cascades into a flash crash, sort of...

How many of you are actually selling and how many of you try to keep on bottom picking ?

sorry if i came a little harsh with my post. Alright, no worries. It would've perhaps made sense to mention that also, verticals alone just didn't make sense to me when one is trying to bet on a bigger fall, that's all. So, did you ? Buy the puts ? And how do you know when down move HAS...

:thumbsup:

the more money you're supposed to make from decay the less you will be making from the underlying's direction (if at all) when you are anticipating a big movement/reversal (calling a top) then your only strategy should have been exactly buying a put (which you disregard) or selling outright...

timing IS everything, EVERYWHERE, not just in the markets. And that's something you'll never capture constantly long term. Has mostly to do with randomness and is considered just being lucky.

I'm afraid you are still not seeing my logic. Obviously the debt is NOT LITERALLY extinct or written off from the goverment balance sheets. The loan agreement is entered when there was debt sold and bought from the auctions at agreed price until agreed deadline. My idea is to focus on HOW the...