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  1. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    0850 EST Nice little ride from 117 220 to 117 240 (long).
  2. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    0839 EST If it weren't for a couple of missteps I would be up at least 300 per 1 lot traded prior to 0830. I rode up twice on the run for the highs from the mid 20's and ended up losing my net on the second one. Long story short, I'm waiting until after the 0900 report to make my next move.
  3. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    0642 EST Pre-market analysis for Monday 17 August 2009. Seeing the ES now at -20.00, I think it is safe to say that we can buy dips in the 10 year for at least a first time approach. I would like to buy, for a first approach only, this level: 117 135 An alternate level I have is...
  4. J

    question about sierra charts

    TGpop, My bad, but goodness you did an excellent job of fooling me. I do have a difference of opinion on the cheapest way to start mindset, especially if you have professional experience. I can't imagine that you'll be happy. Personally, after experimenting with 300 - 600 USD a month...
  5. J

    question about sierra charts

    TGpop, You have a lot to learn. A lot. Don't even think about trading with real money until you can answer these basic questions. Rather than go into great detail, I'll give you my very brief suggestion. Open up an account with ThinkOrSwim. They have the best brokerage charting...
  6. J

    OpenQuant + AmiBroker: my recipe for building robust Automated Trading Systems

    Terrific thread. I too am in the process of automating some of my work. I also have Amibroker, but instead of OpenQuant I have NinjaTrader. So far, I'm focusing mostly on NT as I'm a Java programmer (among other things) and NT's language is similar. What Tomasz has built with...
  7. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    1021 EST Looking at the ES, I still see a lot of room for further moves in the 10 year. I do have a movie to watch though. Decisions.
  8. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    For the record, I posted the above at 0908 EST. We just hit 117 220 a few minutes ago. We've gone from roughly 117 010 to 117 220 since my post. Everyone is different, but I only need a 10 to 12 tick range to make money. A 20 tick range is a bonus.
  9. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    1009 EST OK, we are at the upper range of a run. I am on the verge of calling it a day as I want to relax for the remainder of the evening. I would say that we may have a buy on a single approach of 117 095. Keep in mind that 117 095 is now an extremely important number and decisive...
  10. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    0954 EST Possible rejection of high set up occurring. More after report.
  11. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    0949 EST Very nice simple range bound day to trade. Once we got back above 117 035 after visiting 117 005 all short bias needed to be removed and once we were above 117 050 I knew that following MP, we would rotate back up to the high. In any event, we have one last trade worthy event...
  12. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    Starting at around 0915 EST and lasting a little less than an hour we will have some great trading today. Be ready. Spike move down targets: 116 250 116 060 Spike move up targets: 117 230 117 160
  13. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    0907 EST Not much to report. Just some scalp trades. Now, things are looking bearish with the 5 minute and if this 0915 report is bad for bonds we will spike below 116 315 by about 8 ticks or greater. Trade the '000' s at your own risk. I won't use the '000' playbook on a spike move...
  14. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    0705 EST Pre-market analysis for Friday 14 August 2009 We have the following important report times today (EST): 0830 0915 0955 I would say we need to be prepared for 1/2 to full point swings at a minimum today. No bias. I wish to play both sides, although it really does appear...
  15. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    That about sums it up. I would have waited for 116 135 to exit on that trade. Honestly, you just need to start doing these trades. Trust me, you are ready. Managing you money, learning what you do best, etc, will take time.
  16. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    1036 EST As we rotate back up, and I'm assuming we will test the day's high at least once today, the danger zone will be 116 225 per my MP analysis. I would take some off there if you went long between my buy targets. My best guess (assuming news cooperates) is at least a kiss of 116 280.
  17. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    1019 EST Remember the 1300 EST 30 year auction report. Yesterday's 10 year report was a decent move so we may have a repeat. Upside targets for today are: 117 080 117 040 116 280 My buy targets are 116 195 and 116 160. Danger zones are 116 125 and 116 075. Getting down...
  18. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    0838 EST I'm not saying this to be mean, but the above were very wise words to follow. Unfortunately I wonder how many folks had 10 tick profits that are now 16 tick losses? Hopefully no one reading this journal is in that camp, but if you are, you really need to re-evaluate things. As...
  19. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    0828 EST Done. 115 120 may stop us on the first spike down.
  20. J

    Bond Trader 2009

    0826 EST 1 tick away so far from the 115 210 target.
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