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  1. E

    When will the China bubble pop?

    Interesting link. Anyway, here is how they are going to try to work around the oil problem: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-28/india-central-bank-scrambles-currency-collapse-fallout-gives-usd-oil-companies-every
  2. E

    When will the China bubble pop?

    I seriously doubt that Brazil and India will grow by 5% against the restrictive measures that they will be forced to adopt in order to avoid a collapse of the currency.
  3. E

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    It means the target achieved, the contact with the 10years moving average.
  4. E

    When will the China bubble pop?

    Apart from Turkey, on which I agree with you, the other countries have not only corruption, but also an excess of financial capital that entered from the west and are now fading. This phenomenon is called current account deficit and will not be offset by the trade balance because the world trade...
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    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    The achievement of the 10 years moving average by the TBond has always coincided with the outbreak of a financial crisis. I think the same will happen this time too, and this will help to lower the rates.
  6. E

    When will the China bubble pop?

    ...and America will affect the Chinese monetary policy: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-25/guest-post-will-fed-bailout-chinas-financial-system
  7. E

    When will the China bubble pop?

    In order to save the Real, Brazil is going to empty its foreign exchange reserves damaging the growth of the economy in the coming months. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-25/three-years-after-warning-currency-war-brazil-goes-all
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    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    I believe that one of the strongest motivations about the fall of the US bond prices is linked to the strong sales coming from emerging countries, trying to protect the local currencies.
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    When will the China bubble pop?

    Anyway, I think that this stress on the emerging bonds is also creating some interesting opprtunities on those financially stronger countries that have adopted reformations during these years.
  10. E

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    The US Tips are still interesting in my opinion. With the recent rates downward it's possible to hedge the inflation with a positive spread.
  11. E

    When will the China bubble pop?

    The market is punishing those countries that have not adopted due reforms to the incredible growth rates of the last few years. Brazil, India, Turkey, Indonesia, etc...the crisis risk in these countries is much high.
  12. E

    AUD/USD and Gold

    The worst month of the year is coming to an end for Aud. Considering that the US rates have reached the key resistance level, the rise of gold can now restart.
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    When will the China bubble pop?

    As soon as the Fed has threatened to withdraw part of the cash, the emerging countries that were advantaged by the easy US money of the last years are now starting to show all the limits of their growth.
  14. E

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    The 10 years moving average passes in area 4.10%, never surpassed in the secular bear market of the U.S. rates.
  15. E

    When will the China bubble pop?

    The earthquake on bonds keeps on damaging China (and India)...
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    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Strong sells of bond but the 30years yields are close to 4%....is it a great chance for the contrarians?
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    Yen strength

    Jpy is strong because August is traditionally a favorable month for the Japanese currency. Anyway, oscillators are going towards the oversold and after the benefic effect of the seasonality the short Jpy will be the only chance.
  18. E

    But what about copper ?

    As I was saying in my previous post, I think that the resistance of 340 won't let the copper go any further, but I can see a certain vitality on the copper.
  19. E

    When will the China bubble pop?

    Article on the Chinese bubble: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-12/inside-chinas-real-estate-bubble
  20. E

    AUD/USD and Gold

    More good news for gold. The HUI index is attacking the resistance of 250 points; an upward break would be a significant bullish signal for XAU.
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