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  1. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    11870-11890 is distribution zone above us here. So, just an fyi decent probability we stall here some on nq, or could even turn into a down move. Don't see a trade yet though.
  2. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Not claiming to be great, still growing as a trader and didn't have a short overnight, But news or no news the larger charts weren't in a position for a continuation long and we had overbought levels below us. As we discussed probability after 3:30 was a move down and did not want to be long...
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    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    I think it's a smart thing to do, of course nothing is ever 100% and market may go up 100 ES points overnight, but better to play the odds you know and be wrong, than to guess and be right, because the later just gives you a false sense of skill and accomplishment and there's no way you'll be...
  4. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Yup, I haven't did the backtesting in a while and forget the exact numbers, but statistically 3:00pm and even more so 3:30pm favors longs. So, I always watch for setups I know during those times for a long.
  5. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Closed at 12003.50 flat now.
  6. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    I've pretty much covered all angles lol, that's not my intention. Just to be clear I am long and looking at 3:00 and / or 3:30 to add or take profits, if we move below 11937.50 I'll likely exit my remainder for a loss. However, over all I don't like this and think after 3:30 we have decent...
  7. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    3:00 and 3:30 often our tougher times to be short, so we can still get some good lift. Which is what I'll be looking for.
  8. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Looks like flush into close to me. Possible it's held up until after hours, but than I think good probability we have a further pullback overnight. 11748.25 NQ and 11628.00 would be area of interest. EDIT: I still have no issues taking longs on smaller charts as they come, I am still small...
  9. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    This looks really suspect to me, so taking profits on up moves.
  10. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    I am going long NQ, but getting in and out really fast on some as trading smaller chart so too fast to post.
  11. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Oh shit, that's right. I totally forgot yesterday I had 3467.50 as the second leg of overbought to clear on ES when we were both speaking of areas. I need to keep better records. Not sure it would of changed what I did, but it's stupid to forget about something so important. EDIT: I think...
  12. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Yeah, it's definitely a FOMO, that's why I didn't take it either. Too much risk buying up here or if you lighten your risk, you're likely lowering your probability as stop will just be hit in this current environment. So, on the same page.
  13. T

    Markets down, you guessed it, on failed stimulus hopes. Rinse and repeat

    Yeah I tend to agree with. I mean we had a huge one day move up, those typically don't sustain themselves without at least some type of temporarily pullback at the very least. Larger charts weren't in a position for a good long either, so news or no news it wasn't like a surprise thing.
  14. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    I think we might miss it, if we go all the way back to lows going to be a rough long. But I can't find an entry here that I really like. NQ pulled back like 30 point as soon as I posted, but didn't buy it.
  15. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    If nq can start trading above 11556.00 good chance we get at least 30-50ish point up move. Edit: 11961.50 will make this candle close above the 11556.00 too. I don't currently have a position, but looking for one, just havent found it
  16. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    cool, its no big deal, you just clarified that it was only a warning. just wanted to better understand.
  17. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Here we are retesting that candle now. I won't be taking the the 12027-12047 retest candle long as it doesn't meet all my perimeters. Will have to sit back and wait for another setup.
  18. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    If possible if you can add some context in the future, that would be helpful. Like at what point would you stop out or how do you handle the resistance, did you mean resistance as in taking profits, actually shorting it or just saying be aware? did you believe it yourself enough to actually...
  19. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Here we go again with the relentless NQ bid thing, going to make the long more difficult if we do retest as going to be a decent amount of under water buyers looking to exit.
  20. T

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    12027-12047 if that candle gets retested that this up move originated from will look for a potential long there. Still have 12000.50 below us on NQ and ES looking a little weak here again, so that is concerning. If market just keeps going up, same thing as last time I'll just miss out...
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