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    Intra day ES statistics

    I had to navigate a lot of stuff that didn’t work (for me). Learning nearly broke my will several times. I don’t do breakeven. What I tried was profitable but the method didn’t suit me.
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    Intra day ES statistics

    Just in coming up with margin per contract. Most of my losing streaks are in the 4-5 range and occasionally up to 10 or 11. That can't be avoided. My margin is set conservatively (12500 per contract / 1000 ticks) to handle losing streaks during volatile conditions. I also have a "scale down"...
  3. I

    Intra day ES statistics

    :D Happy with the numbers, just got to get contracts up.
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    Intra day ES statistics

    Not in the same period, but, per example I showed with the screenshots - September average stops (24 ticks) were larger than December average targets (14 ticks). But in same period, my avg targets are always bigger than avg stops.
  5. I

    Intra day ES statistics

    For my ES trades, my stop is set a tick beyond the signal bar. But the size of the signal bar fluctuates trade to trade (and grows larger in more volatile conditions), hence the fluctuating stop size.
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    Intra day ES statistics

    Here's a couple examples that might make my previous post more clear, This past month, ES had quite a few tight RTH range days, so my AVERAGE stop for this series of trades was tight (6 ticks). But trade to trade, it's fluctuated and I even had one that was 20+ ticks. Contrast to...
  7. I

    Intra day ES statistics

    You currently use dynamic stops and want to switch to fixed stops or time-based stops. I’ve done fixed and dynamic, but never time-based. For me, The stops and targets have largely been dynamic in 2019. IOW the stop size fluctuates from trade to trade, but over 1000s of trades, averages are...
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    Best Advice You Could Give A Beginner?

    I think a year is overly ambitious, and recklessness is something to solve along the way. Keep in mind, degreed fields have a clear timeline/curriculum, X amount of years schooling, then find a job and start earning. But trading has no clear timeline/syllabus/course material. You'll likely have...
  9. I

    The VIX sucketh

    At $292 today the market cap is $1.3T, so you're calling a $4T+ market cap within 3-4 years? What's your call for QQQ at that point?
  10. I

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    This "parabolic upmove" has been nice, but also looking forward to the next "market in turmoil" week with several 100+ point range days.
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    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20181219.pdf HEATHER LONG. Hi, Heather Long from the Washington Post. Today, the Fed lowered its expectations for interest rate increases. Given that, I’m wondering if the Fed has had any discussion of altering the course of balance...
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    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-12-12/fed-to-adjust-limit-for-some-daily-overnight-repo-operations Impeachment and trade deal headlines have dominated front pages the last couple weeks, but fed's actions have received mention.
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    Which is worse: Losing, or opportunity lost/leaving $ on the table

    An avg loss for me is 10-12 ES ticks and a win is about 18. The WL is about 50/50. At times, I exit winners with a trailing method, and the wins may net as many as 40-50 ticks. With this math, intentionally skipping trades stalls my progress more than unavoidable losing streaks. After skipping...
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    What information does Technical analysis tell you ?

    :rolleyes: Since joining the forum in early '18, feel like I've seen dozu888 talk "waste of time" on every trading thread. So I wasted the last several minutes of my own time on a dozu "waste of time" search. Come on, guy... you're sounding like a broken record.
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    So, what am I missing ?

    Everything before the current millisecond is “past”. Maybe there is ”massive competition”, but there are times when the majority of participants are buying and price is trending up. Sometimes majority is selling, and price is trending down. One person can’t create one of these trend waves, but...
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    Can I Use My MacBook Pro As A Monitor For My New Mac Mini?

    Presently, Apple doesn’t offer a way to turn your MacBook Pro into a monitor for your Mac mini. Some iMacs could be used as externals by way of target display mode, but only with macOS High Sierra or earlier. Latest OS doesn’t support it. https://support.apple.com/en-us/HT204592 What you are...
  17. I

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Prob more than a few here who gave it a shot at one point and failed, left trading but can't leave it alone.
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    ‘I’m 100% in equities. … You’re never going to make enough money if you have 40% of your money in bo

    My guess is another 2017 type steady climb, eventually followed by a “market in turmoil” week that erases a year+ worth of gains, similar to Feb 2018. But I don’t expect any significant returns of volatility during not QE.
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    Trend lines and Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle

    I don't draw trend lines or any other type of line, but, I do use tick charts and I do look for trending movement. I don't give a shit if the "trends" I observe are meaningful or meaningless. All I care about is whether I can profit from my observations and entries, in a methodical and...
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    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    If we can just get some RTH range expansion, I promise I won't fall asleep on the job again...
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