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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    republicans have shown they can get little done when they control the house, senate and Oval Office. the reason is that you still need to get buy-in. The bid offer narrows but its still there.
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    I read your posts. It’s full of mental gymnastics. You said trump could have done more and now you are blaming others. He’s the president. He can do things by executive order. Plus a real leader gets buy in from all the interested parties. That’s leadership. When you run a business (even one...
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    The mental gymnastics is amazing. You start off by saying he didn’t do a great job to blaming everyone else.
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    what does that have to do with Vietnam? maybes he’s exporting all our fracking to Vietnam?
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    Compared to the epicenter it’s like the fourth most isolated country that matters after Australia, Canada and New Zealand (and all of them had strict lockdowns).
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    I thought it was MAGA not MVGA. Jobs to come back to the US, not transfer to Vietnam.
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    My business was in the cross hairs of the tarriffs. That is tarriffs were designed to protect a company like mine. All the "job creation" by Foxconn and others opening plants in the US to create 30,000 jobs were supposed to help my company. We found no change. Customers are willing to pay the...
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    And then Trump said the virus will be fixed in 4 weeks. It wasn't enough. That was obvious. The virus was already here in February. Everyone knew it. I didn't go to Chinatown when i went to NYC in January because I knew the virus was coming, and I grossly underestimated the impact the virus...
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    Why didn’t Trump stop all the flights from China in November? He could have done it in 10 seconds and we know he doesn’t give a fuck what China thinks (except when ivanka is looking for trademarks)
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    and the deflection of blame to the WHO is testament to how poor a leader trump is.
  11. N

    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    I’m 42. I ask because I have a theory about people who hold the view you do. Biden, absolutely would have done better. Almost anyone else would have. The difference between America and the rest of the world is we have 4 months lead time and saw several countries in Asia and in Europe respond...
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    If Biden wins, is a Stock Transaction Tax likely?

    A 40bp tax on trading would certainly be out of the question. Too many powerful hedge funds will squash it. If they did it would certainly be deductible or creditable from your income tax.
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    If Biden wins, is a Stock Transaction Tax likely?

    is that how small your edge is per notional? not a political statement or intended as an insult. When I first started as a quant, I developed a strategy that earned 4bps/day per gross notional on average. The stat arb team make like 30mm/year trading it.
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    Ok. Republicans take credit for good economies whenever they happen, democrats get the blame, whenever they happen. Just remember we had 12 years of Republican rule when Clinton inherited a recession. And we had 8 years of GWB rule when Obama inherited a recession. Trump inherited a bull economy...
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    its a myth that democrats kill the economy. The last four recessions happend under Republican presidents. the last two Democratic presidents presided over growing economies. And let’s not discuss deficit spending when the budget was last balanced under a “Spendocrat” Clinton. but this...
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    Is ET statistically in line with national polls? Vote here.

    no. Trump is trump first. Fuck the rest.
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    biden is the man we need now. Trump has destroyed the credibility and respect for the office.
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    Trump trade war has failed to boost U.S. manufacturing...

    i would say the only good thing trump has done is highlight the new cold war that China had been waging for the last twenty years.
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    SPX implied volatility higher than SPY

    that would be a model error. The only difference in price between spy and spx should be American vs European and the dividends. However a proper implied volatility model should account for both.
  20. N

    How much will the stock market fall if Biden wins?

    a sooner end to COVID too
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