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    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    1300 will be a low not the High as I expected...When new algorithms are created along with multiple types of charts, you have to try and see if one will provide you with consistent, great moves or swings. The ultimate is to find those direct point A to B moves without symmetry swings inside of...
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    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    What is happening now is what I expected to occur by 1030 giving the market support to go higher. I knew a shake out was coming but the question remains now is will they be able to regain momentum to go back up. This is why it is crucial to have a trend following tool for all the time frames
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    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Probabilities are still indicating a move up until 1300. But we will shake out traders for the first hour of the day session.
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    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Not yet, (if I did it was insignificant with a Micro lot) because I see things happening that need to be clearly defined. e.g., on this Q chart all the action occurs between the inflection points of the Polynomial Peaks and Valleys, as you are seeing right now. The market comes to life.
  5. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Price finally breaks and they go below the 3x3. I was expecting that since the market has pretty much followed the previously posted chart. On the N-1 Chart 0800 was an AV. 0900 and 1000 are AV's too so I expect chop or back and forth. 3680.25 was a sell if you wanted to be aggressive with a...
  6. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    So far this is the chart the market followed last night and up until now. Not surprised they are trying to sell it right now. But the upward trend is still intact.
  7. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    We got our thrust up but all in one 30Min bar...I don't see a big sell off here but we probably will pull back until around 2300, then back up until 100 and 130, then rollover backdown until early morning, but swing up and down. Everything should pick up to the upside after the 0630-0730 until...
  8. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Here is the ES 90min for the entire week, from Monday 12/14 to Friday 12/18/2020 Here is the ES 30Min for Monday 12/14/2020 After the Opening this evening I expect a move up until 2100, after that you may be able to sell it. Sometime between 0630 and 0730 we should get a low put in place...
  9. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Look at what you had working against you for a sell. They brought the 5min back above the 3x3, the 30Min wasn't even close to changing trends, well above it's 3x3, and same could be said regarding the 90min...the result a spike Price High. They may roll it back down again. Even though what I...
  10. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Now at 1500 we have a 90min AV but it is looking like a 0 (Zero) based on the N-1 90Min Chart. Higher time frame data points 0 (Zero's) may be acceptable at a 3 value data point which is near 0 and for this particular case. See the 90min N-1 Chart. That would mean a Price High at 1500. The...
  11. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    This is exactly what I was talking about:
  12. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Here is an update...They made a new low at 1240 during the 1300 AV and at 1250 the market moved through the 3X3 on the 5Min and hasn't looked back except for some resistance when the market hit the 30Min 3x3. See Below: I am not opposed to selling 1400 but would not be in a rush to sell it. At...
  13. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Here is the view of the 90Min N-1 Forecast Chart, it was calculated the same way with the same parameters and begins on Sunday evening through today (Friday). If you look at this closely you will see a 10:30 AV on the 90Min today that goes to the 1500 AV and is likely why the market continued...
  14. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    There was opportunity from the 1030AV to Noon AV...here it is the final look from the 5min view: I am not fond of taking trades when the time frames are close together. You had/have a Noon/1300/1400 and then 1530. I would wait until the 1400 set up or just call it a day from the overnight and...
  15. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    From the 1030 AV close until just a moment ago the trade did well. Here is a 5min view and 30Min view. I would have covered at 10 points. 1300 AV and then 1400 AV are next but I would skip the 1300 and wait until 1400 to see what develops.
  16. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Our 1030 AV trade set up well and turned into a nice sell. But notice support at the 3x3. I would have a breakeven stop with this trade now with a target of a minimum of 10 points. Never ever put yourself at great risk, as we all well know anything can happen.
  17. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Don't forget about using the 3x3, use it to your advantage. It will help keep you safe and protects you from the Market Makers. Also it's a great tool to use for stops and trailing stops. For the balance of this day there are only 2 Av's I would consider trading, 1030 and 1400. They have longer...
  18. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Here is an update:
  19. I

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    0 (Zero's) which I can only define as those data point values as being 1.0 or less on the N-1 Forecast Chart. (Yes you may see them occur at 1.3, etc., but closer to Zero the better.) A very high percentage of 0's are tops and sells. Av's are greater than 1.0/1.3, etc., and they have a...
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    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Here is a condensed version with the Price Chart and Forecast N-1 Chart.
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