Quote from dbphoenix:
I've learned not to get too far into "suggestions" without knowing the person's plan since most of it ends up being a waste of time, not because the person isn't paying attention and not because the suggestions are worthless, but because it's nearly always apples and oranges. So one gets into "Here's what I'd do" and somebody comes along and says that that's a load of crap and so on.
So staying within the context of the spirit of this thread, I suggest you clear your mind of those beliefs and take another look at the charts. One of the chief advantages -- if not the chief advantage -- of trading the minis is the predictability of the moves.
Therefore, go back over a couple months' charts and find those days that made the ADR. Look at where the moves began and try to find some commonality among those points or levels. If you can find that, then you know where to enter. You then have to decide how to enter and how to manage the trade. However, exiting before you reach your target is not an option (currently 10pts on the ES). You must be "detached" from the trade. If the trade doesn't go, you "fold".
This requires detachment, persistence, a great deal of patience, a willingness to fold, acceptance of whatever the market is willing to give you, a willingness to forgive yourself. As for the specifics of setups, entry, stops, testing, etc., consider opening a journal. Getting into that here would create an entirely different thread.