Your Trading style: Careful TA, or spray n pray/law of large numbers?

green friday too :D

i martingale with sequences of 3-5 trades in a row, eg start w/400 shares, then double etc
fdlyup2oct.jpg
 
KCalhoun said:
i martingale with sequences of 3-5 trades in a row, eg start w/400 shares, then double etc
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Wait ! Are you really doing anti-martingale ?
"Anti-martingale strategy is to double the trade size on winning trades and halve the size on losing trades."
What is your exact logic for changing the bet size ?
 
syswizard said:
Wait ! Are you really doing anti-martingale ?
"Anti-martingale strategy is to double the trade size on winning trades and halve the size on losing trades."
What is your exact logic for changing the bet size ?
More...

Right, prolly anti-m....

I only add to winners...

eg trade 1 = 400shares, if it keeps going up I double to 800 shares, if it keeps going I add 400-500 more, til it stalls, 1 or 2 red candles and I tighten trail stops to within .05 to book profits..

And if I was doing that with inverse like SQQQ, I then immediately enter buy-stop .2 above market for TQQQ, its opposite, to catch the reversal using pair trade
 
KCalhoun said:
Right, prolly anti-m....

I only add to winners...

eg trade 1 = 400shares, if it keeps going up I double to 800 shares, if it keeps going I add 400-500 more, til it stalls, 1 or 2 red candles and I tighten trail stops to within .05 to book profits..

And if I was doing that with inverse like SQQQ, I then immediately enter buy-stop .2 above market for TQQQ, its opposite, to catch the reversal using pair trade
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I guess I do the opposite of u. I will start out small. If I got a loser. I double or triple my size going the other way against me.
 
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my arbitrage trading has been so successful...i applied to my sport betting too. doing arbitrage betting and based on my sports betting journal...i did 149 bets ytd and i'm green so far.
 
Trend following idiot here. I believe Ed Seykota said that. Count me in that group. Simple strategies are better. Complicated ones will trip you up and cause you to make huge mistakes at the wrong time.
 
KCalhoun said:
Curious, for day vs swing trading, what's your favorite style?

I use careful TA for swings, eg 2d highs, increasing range in uptrend etc...

For daytrading I do as many as 110+ roundtrips daily, it's all taking shots at whatever's in motion.
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Who ever is on the other side of the trade, I jerk his arm to establish dominance. then I f**k him :):D Like so


 
Cross-hedged. But also quant models and VWAP. I always make sure to know what the yield curve is doing. The rates market is the most important thing to know.
 
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