My take is market volatility will be increasing further due to a vast variety of factors: Berxit, further Fed rate hike delays, US presidential election, stock market peaking, the IMF allegedly plotting a credit event in Greece, and many more that I cannot yet foresee. It's funny how I can hardly predict the exact timing of major market shake-ups but can now be 100% certain not a single year of the upcoming ones will pass without them. What are your opinions on the matter?
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Your personal market volatility projections for 2016
- Thread starter babyjake1961
- Start date
what is lacking for the stockmarket is a catalyst. It's shown us at the current 200k jobs and 1% growth it can trade up to 18,000 on the dow. But then what? Why sell? You can still get 2% div on spy. So let the traders sell the rallies. It's the dips to buy that are a 2016 problem.
Was there always a clear catalyst for the previous major stock market crashes?what is lacking for the stockmarket is a catalyst. It's shown us at the current 200k jobs and 1% growth it can trade up to 18,000 on the dow. But then what? Why sell? You can still get 2% div on spy. So let the traders sell the rallies. It's the dips to buy that are a 2016 problem.
yes, I think they were pretty clear. Unemployment. Mortage foreclosure. It's hard to keep the economy and the stockmarket purring along when you don't have a job or a house.Was there always a clear catalyst for the previous major stock market crashes?
Yes, but why was it that people suddenly found themselves unable to continue paying their mortgages or keep their jobs?yes, I think they were pretty clear. Unemployment. Mortage foreclosure. It's hard to keep the economy and the stockmarket purring along when you don't have a job or a house.
because they could never afford their mortgages in the first place?Yes, but why was it that people suddenly found themselves unable to continue paying their mortgages or keep their jobs?
Yes, but why was it that people suddenly found themselves unable to continue paying their mortgages or keep their jobs?
Credit cycles from expansionary monetary policy.. Artificially suppressed interest rates. These play out in bust scenarios... The best is to admit to not being a good forecaster and manage your risk
How is that what we are not having right now?Credit cycles from expansionary monetary policy.. Artificially suppressed interest rates. These play out in bust scenarios... The best is to admit to not being a good forecaster and manage your risk
So why would they take those mortgages?because they could never afford their mortgages in the first place?
Your question is incoherentHow is that what we are not having right now?