Hi William
I totaly agree with you on trading Black Boxes signals.
I've been following one Black box signal since early this year. It is based on chaos theory and system dynamics. The same technology that is some how explained in the film The Bank.
I know from the company that they will also restrict the number of users to avoid over usage of their signal.
It is both a market prediction chart, and a trading signal.
What I find great of this indicator, is that you can trade the signals as provided and there is no guessing in knowing when to get in or out. It is pretty simple. You know several hours in advanced when you are going to get in/out/target and stop loss.
You can add other studies to their signal as they provide a charted prediction for the rest of the day, and updated every 15 minutes. I have found no other indicator that charts the market in advanced like these guys do.
Check this chart. I'm adding to the black box provided chart a Market Profile chart. I'm also testing with CCI, but so far, following the trades as they are given has proven to be very profitable.
The other good thing about this type of predictive indicator, is that if you follow TA indicators, you generally have subjective analysis to do. Having a Black Box, that works in many more dimensions that one could imagine, and that charts the market in advance helps a lot when TA is ambigous. Is like having playing chess with Big Blue on your side, and giving its opinion every 15 minutes.
I've been posting on my journal the results of trading with that approach.
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=70418&perpage=6&pagenumber=17
Take care.
Quote from William Rennick:
The problem with pivot points or any other indicator du jour is that they are widely used. The rules that are being used are being mass marketed through books, seminars and all the rest of the BS. All the innocent green horns are looking at the same chart using the same guidelines in which to trigger a trade. This produces a perfect imbalence for the Smart Money to kill the predictable green horns. The 90% of traders losing money rule doesn't change and hasnt changed with each new fad. I've got an indicator that I use that will knock your Aunt Connies socks off. It works because its makeup is a closely held Black Box secret that will never be revealed or become over subscribed (which would kill it). I have no idea how it works, don't expect to either. But I do know it works with amazing results. To see first hand how it has performed check out my journal where I have been posting it's afternoon forecasts. I'm not spamming as I have zero to gain by doing so . Just wanting to share and give my view as to why popular mass marketed indicators are a tool of the Big Fish (Smart Money who don't use them)feeding on the little fish(all the rest who do use them).
Rennick
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=65265&perpage=6&pagenumber=49