You think there is a similarity to 29'? --> Chart

[ironchef]

So, lets just look at the chart...

Can there be any similarities?!




View attachment 343710


Just btw, if you would have to go short, in what way would you do it?
Futures, Options, Shorting stocks...?

You tell me, from the following SPY returns. The time line is approximate and arbitrary:

1929-1940 ~ -5%?? Depression
1941-1945 ~ WW II
1946-1968 ~ 14%
1969-1981 ~ 6%
1982-2000 ~ 18%
2000-2009 ~ -6% Great Recession
2009-2024 ~ 15%
2024-2029 ~ ???
2029-2040 ~ ??? Depression???

I am taking some money off the table.

 

[murray t turtle]

%%
I wasn't around then, so don't know but now i can buy/sell DOTM calls/puts for a few pennies to a dollar. Better than 90%.

%%
LOL. Same here, not that age, but do have charts of that time.
Speaking of 1929-1933, wonder if the Fed + ECB should bust up big banks DB+ C??
I saw a killer whale pack bust up a ice pack, good way to get a seal meal. Amazing video,
NOT all can go to MCD LOL.

 

[EqtTrdr]

CONGRATS once again to all those who play the ZERO risk free money just buy SPX system$$ I love 100% up room to go with ZERO risk free money baby $$$Kachingo$$$ markets CRUSHING shorts one youtube permabear at a time $$$

 

[piezoe]

Fuzzy words, likely/unlikely.

If its the future we are talking about, then fuzzy is smart. Remember what Yogi said about making predictions, especially about the future. You can only afford non-fuzzy words when you're predicting the past.

 

[piezoe]

will keep printing to ensure they keep it together

NoahA, I have just one question for you. Where else, other than printing, would you expect new money to come from? Are you suggesting we should go back to tally sticks we can whittle, or perhaps designate big round stones dredged from the ocean bottom as money?

 

[NoahA]

NoahA, I have just one question for you. Where else, other than printing, would you expect new money to come from? Are you suggesting we should go back to tally sticks we can whittle, or perhaps designate big round stones dredged from the ocean bottom as money?

Honestly, I'm a bitcoin convert. The issuance of new bitcoin is programmed, and the issuance schedule is now below that of gold. (less then 1% per year, and that will decrease over time with each halving).

Now you might wonder how will there be enough money? The thing to realize is that the world is actually deflationary. Look up info on Jeff Booth's book "The Price of Tomorrow". Prices should be falling because of technology and innovation. The reason they don't is because that productivity is stolen. Deflation is the true direction of the market, so you need a currency that won't fight this trend.

Inflation is a crime, and governments perpetuate this crime because they are run by the elite who want everyone else to suffer. There are many examples in the past where life was great with no inflation, where prices were the same for many years, and there are also example, from what I recall over 100 years ago, where prices actually dropped and things were good. People got richer from saving. It has only been since the Fed over 100 years ago that we got on the wrong path.

 

[SunTrader]

If its the future we are talking about, then fuzzy is smart. Remember what Yogi said about making predictions, especially about the future. You can only afford non-fuzzy words when you're predicting the past.

Fuzzy is fuzzy past, present, future.

 

[Overnight]

You tell me, from the following SPY returns. The time line is approximate and arbitrary:

1929-1940 ~ -5%?? Depression
1941-1945 ~ WW II
1946-1968 ~ 14%
1969-1981 ~ 6%
1982-2000 ~ 18%
2000-2009 ~ -6% Great Recession
2009-2024 ~ 15%
2024-2029 ~ ???
2029-2040 ~ ??? Depression???

I am taking some money off the table.

Your analysis is flawed.

Your first bit in the list is an 11-year period, from 1929 to 1940.

But after that, you break it down into event chunks.

FALSE!

If you start your analysis at 11 years, then you must continue it that way, in 11-year chunks.

Fill in the blanks, then.

"1929-1940 ~ -5%?? Depression

1941-1952 ---?
1953-1964 ---?
1965-1976 ---?
1977-1988 ---?
1989-2000 ---?
2001-2012 ---?
2013-2024 ---?"

If you do not do this, you are not a data scientist.

 

[piezoe]

Honestly, I'm a bitcoin convert. The issuance of new bitcoin is programmed, and the issuance schedule is now below that of gold. (less then 1% per year, and that will decrease over time with each halving).

Now you might wonder how will there be enough money? The thing to realize is that the world is actually deflationary. Look up info on Jeff Booth's book "The Price of Tomorrow". Prices should be falling because of technology and innovation. The reason they don't is because that productivity is stolen. Deflation is the true direction of the market, so you need a currency that won't fight this trend.

Inflation is a crime, and governments perpetuate this crime because they are run by the elite who want everyone else to suffer. There are many examples in the past where life was great with no inflation, where prices were the same for many years, and there are also example, from what I recall over 100 years ago, where prices actually dropped and things were good. People got richer from saving. It has only been since the Fed over 100 years ago that we got on the wrong path.

Please tell me you're joking. Otherwise go away. Read. Then comeback and tell us where the money to buy bitcoins will originate from.

 

[Darc]

1929 Crash was due to irrational exuberance and Deflation wasn't it.

We're coming off Govt induced Inflation and Market stimulus along with the AI boom and Interest Rate cuts discounting

We have had Deflation issues post 2000 and GFC, but Governments have learnt to throw Money around to kurb Deflation.



We all wish the Market would crash. We could all ride it back up again.