You think there is a similarity to 29'? --> Chart

[ironchef]

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Some similarities;
even your line charts show both Uptrends. Prefer candlecharts myself.
2] Lots more like SDS..........[short SPY, if one wants to]
3.33] Lots more help like FDIC, insurance , not many state banks print their own money any more LOL. [Soil conservation + flood control somewhat better.]
777]Stock margin is closer to 50% max \not 90%
888] Another similarity;
some still make money on downtrend\ cheap oil\selling it by the quart or gallon LOL

With naked options, stock margin is > 90%?

 

[ironchef]

My only fear, which is playing out, is that those who benefited and perpetuated all of this will be gone.

The young people today cannot afford housing, and can't even start a family, and are told to work harder. The boomers with their inflated real estate and successful lives just need the suckers to keep paying for another decade or two so that they have a good retirement and all the access to healthcare they need. The same boomer fuckers in the government will keep printing to ensure they keep it together just long enough for the last one of them to die off. Once they are all gone, someone else will have to deal with the problems.

I of course realize that nobody wants a huge inheritance tax, and nobody wants a real estate crash, but how else is the younger generation expected to have a good life themselves while also supporting the boomers? So much of future productivity and earnings have already been brought forward and spent.

It needs to collapse now so that those who benefited the most can share in the pain.

You just have to wait a little longer, we boomers can't take it with us and will pass your inheritances to you someday.

 

[SunTrader]

Wonder if the Romans sat around pontificating on their demise?

 

[Handle123]

A shorting we will goooo, a shorting we will gooo, high ho merry go, a shorting we will go/hedged.

 

[jys78]

you know a 20percent crash is even more likely and a 10percent crash is even more likely than that!

And a 5% "crash" yet more likely still lol

 

[murray t turtle]

With naked options, stock margin is > 90%?

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1929 stock margin, alowed 90%,

 

[engineering]

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1929 stock margin, alowed 90%,

Don't forget the CFDs and derivatives we have now.

DB alone has something like a 42 TRILLION dollar derivatives book. Think what chaos it work case if DB (currently trading at a P/B ratio of 0.41) were to fail.

One of my fears is a cascading wave of failures of major Euro banks, which are also systemically important in the US market (fed primary dealers, NYSE members, etc). Euro PB ratios for the 10 biggest banks over there suggest that the are tons of losses that have yet to be realized.

 

[tradertweets]

If there is still much money in the market (as is),

and interest rates come down, investment will flourish a lot more...

Whether inflation comes down in this scenario or not, is not totally clear (arguments on both sides).

However, we would have a bull spike - most likely. Maybe followed by a reverse event.

 

[murray t turtle]

Don't forget the CFDs and derivatives we have now.

DB alone has something like a 42 TRILLION dollar derivatives book. Think what chaos it work case if DB (currently trading at a P/B ratio of 0.41) were to fail.

One of my fears is a cascading wave of failures of major Euro banks, which are also systemically important in the US market (fed primary dealers, NYSE members, etc). Euro PB ratios for the 10 biggest banks over there suggest that the are tons of losses that have yet to be realized.

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DB maybe better run than C [Citigroup] but that's not saying much
I rememebr WSJ had an article on Fed meeting with DB, probably not to compliment them LOL..Amazing the big, big fines those big banks pay, amazing

 

[ironchef]

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1929 stock margin, alowed 90%,

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I wasn't around then, so don't know but now i can buy/sell DOTM calls/puts for a few pennies to a dollar. Better than 90%.