STOCK DATE IN PAID NOW GAIN TARGET
Hold over a year old
PTSI 4/15/2002 24.84 22.00 -11.4% 28.9
AXL 5/20/2002 34.73 28.92 -16.7% 40.2
CHKE 5/22/2002 21.50 18.90 -12.1% 24.9
MDC 7/10/2002 46.59 47.85 2.7% 54.0
Over 6 weeks hold limit
GRMN 5/23/2003 45.91 38.23 -16.7% 53.1
WRLD 6/3/2003 14.43 14.79 2.5% 16.8
COH 6/9/2003 51.49 53.10 3.1% 59.8
Still within Hold range
WSB 6/30/2003 10.67 9.55 -10.5% 12.4
AMHC 7/14/2003 41.00 33.80 -17.6% 47.6
NARA 7/25/2003 18.91 18.65 -1.4% 21.9
DKS 7/29/2003 39.99 36.23 -9.4% 46.3
SFCC 7/30/2003 26.01 25.04 -3.7% 30.0
Available cash stream based on past holds
Stream A
Partial Winners (3):
10 to 15%
None
5 to 9%
none
0 to 4%
three
Losers(9):
loss over 15%
Three
10 to 15% loss
Three
5 to 9% loss
One
0 to 4% loss
Two
Streams not invested (1):
Stream A.
Summary.
A couple of months ago Mr market's capital reached a peak. Now it is in decline overall. A test of any start up investment system is how the initial capital works. He started with two streams and added capital continually. For profits to represent additional investment streams there is a trade off between how many streams represent one profit cycle advance and how many cycles are required to form a new stream. Currently he has 13 streams running when he maxed out on streams.
A second test is when the worth of units of applied capital peaks. He has added capital continually and the worth of units of applied capital peaked in the first quarter.
Currently all of his partial winners are equal to 1/2 the losses of his single worst held loser AMHC. Currently, he has a loosing money velocity equivalent to 8 1/2 units of applied capital in a context where it takes 13 winners to advance his capital 15%.
Currently, the total capital is shrinking at a rate faster than any time of capital addition in the history of the investment system.
It is difficult to imagine how logging consecutive winners has any relationship to making money.
This guy has thrown additional outside capital at this thing since the beginning and now it is losing money at the fastest clip it ever has.
It will be stunning to see how he applied his uninvested cash to the next filtered and culled best investment. All 5 of the stocks he has selected that remain within his target hold period are losers atthis point.
Hold over a year old
PTSI 4/15/2002 24.84 22.00 -11.4% 28.9
AXL 5/20/2002 34.73 28.92 -16.7% 40.2
CHKE 5/22/2002 21.50 18.90 -12.1% 24.9
MDC 7/10/2002 46.59 47.85 2.7% 54.0
Over 6 weeks hold limit
GRMN 5/23/2003 45.91 38.23 -16.7% 53.1
WRLD 6/3/2003 14.43 14.79 2.5% 16.8
COH 6/9/2003 51.49 53.10 3.1% 59.8
Still within Hold range
WSB 6/30/2003 10.67 9.55 -10.5% 12.4
AMHC 7/14/2003 41.00 33.80 -17.6% 47.6
NARA 7/25/2003 18.91 18.65 -1.4% 21.9
DKS 7/29/2003 39.99 36.23 -9.4% 46.3
SFCC 7/30/2003 26.01 25.04 -3.7% 30.0
Available cash stream based on past holds
Stream A
Partial Winners (3):
10 to 15%
None
5 to 9%
none
0 to 4%
three
Losers(9):
loss over 15%
Three
10 to 15% loss
Three
5 to 9% loss
One
0 to 4% loss
Two
Streams not invested (1):
Stream A.
Summary.
A couple of months ago Mr market's capital reached a peak. Now it is in decline overall. A test of any start up investment system is how the initial capital works. He started with two streams and added capital continually. For profits to represent additional investment streams there is a trade off between how many streams represent one profit cycle advance and how many cycles are required to form a new stream. Currently he has 13 streams running when he maxed out on streams.
A second test is when the worth of units of applied capital peaks. He has added capital continually and the worth of units of applied capital peaked in the first quarter.
Currently all of his partial winners are equal to 1/2 the losses of his single worst held loser AMHC. Currently, he has a loosing money velocity equivalent to 8 1/2 units of applied capital in a context where it takes 13 winners to advance his capital 15%.
Currently, the total capital is shrinking at a rate faster than any time of capital addition in the history of the investment system.
It is difficult to imagine how logging consecutive winners has any relationship to making money.
This guy has thrown additional outside capital at this thing since the beginning and now it is losing money at the fastest clip it ever has.
It will be stunning to see how he applied his uninvested cash to the next filtered and culled best investment. All 5 of the stocks he has selected that remain within his target hold period are losers atthis point.
