If you bought at midnight you are long at 11068 and are suffering a huge 12 point drawdown. Now MRC will be a failure if YM does not go above 11068 today if a failure is what you consider going 3 for 4 with the last MRC trades. And I agree MRC probably does not work good in a bear market, but one unique quality is when DOW closes LOD, it almost always is a sure loss if you hold a short into the next day from that close.