Yesterday's Close?

[p0box4]

Good grief. Just subtract closing QQQ price from current price of the NQ futures, and there you have it.

Good grief, not really practical to do that for every close/open for lets say the past 2 years ...

 

[Rams Fan]

On Ninja, the close for the ES is 5:00 PM ET and that is what is marked on the chart.

There are actually two closes to monitor, the RTH close, and the Globex close.

For ES, you might want to monitor the SPX close and whether it fills its gap.

 

[Overnight]

There are actually two closes to monitor, the RTH close, and the Globex close.

For ES, you might want to monitor the SPX close and whether it fills its gap.

You might want to show us your real trading journal, before you pipe up? I do not recall seeing it. Refresh my memory?

 

[schizo]

There are actually two closes to monitor, the RTH close, and the Globex close.

No offense, but the Globex close is the same as the RTH open, so don't see the need. I mean that's what gives you the gap, if there is any.

 

[Rams Fan]

No offense, but the Globex close is the same as the RTH open, so don't see the need. I mean that's what gives you the gap, if there is any.

RTH ends at 4:15 PM Eastern.

RTH opens at 9:30 AM Eastern

If there's a gap, that is where it will be felt.

Your broker should offer both Globex chart data and RTH.

I doubt the OP was talking about a price gap between the Globex close and the Globex re-open an hour later. But maybe he was.

ET has been very strange this evening.

 

[Overnight]

RTH ends at 4:15 PM Eastern.

RTH opens at 9:30 AM Eastern

If there's a gap, that is where it will be felt.

Your broker should offer both Globex chart data and RTH.

I doubt the OP was talking about a price gap between the Globex close and the Globex re-open an hour later. But maybe he was.

ET has been very strange this evening.

You know posted hours, but you do not trade, So nobody should to listen to your BULLSHIT.

 

[Rams Fan]

Globex on the left, RTH on the right. Red line = close of the respective session, Blue line = open of the respective session.

 

[SunTrader]

On Ninja, the close for the ES is 5:00 PM ET and that is what is marked on the chart.

If you know what's good for you ignore CME trading day close.

There is a reason, a very good reason why the CME has a page for each symbol, specifically devoted to settlement (ES for example):-

https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/equities/sp/e-mini-sandp500.settlements.html

A yuuuuuuuge amount of institutional money is tied to it, and what really determines market direction each day.

Sometimes settlement and close are the same or very close. Sometimes the spread is wide and on those days it pays to know that difference. Just sayin'

 

[Hanama]

Volatility, liquidity, and overall market sentiment can influence gap behavior.

 

[Laissez Faire]

I have a question to the ES traders out there who mark yesterday's close on their charts.

As far as the day session is concerned, what is the statistical probability based on historical data price will "close the gap" back to yesterday's close sometime during the regular session?

Some very good answers already. If the requirement is a complete fill, the chance of a gap fill on a gap up is 52 % and on gap down it's 55 % over the last 5 years. If the requirement is a partial fill (as often price may reverse just short of the actual closing price), the odds are better.

In other words, not any predictive value on that basis alone. Often, a larger gap in one direction means continuation.

No doubt an important level to plot, though. FWIW, I use the 4 PM close.