Yes, another one

Let me know what yall think.
I think you are doing it backwards. Start with swing trading until you make enough to day trade.

My experience and mine only, is that futures are tougher to trade than stocks and swing trading is easier than day trading.
 
I use a gambling mentality to trade.
From one moment to the next I have no clue whether I go to profit or loss.
Regarding backtesting, some methods are impossible to test, like my system, it cannot be backtested.
How do I know it has an edge? By the results, been trading + 30 years so by now know what does or doesn't work, but just persevere, it gets easier and better with time.
 
I use a gambling mentality to trade.
From one moment to the next I have no clue whether I go to profit or loss.
Regarding backtesting, some methods are impossible to test, like my system, it cannot be backtested.
How do I know it has an edge? By the results, been trading + 30 years so by now know what does or doesn't work, but just persevere, it gets easier and better with time.
Can you share your system?
 
Can you share your system?
'fraid not, why would anyone think to do that with internet strangers?
But it definitely is a gambling system, every day I get whacked but it's worth it, most couldn't trade it as the the whacking is relentless but like anything, where most don't tread there's a niche to exploit.
My system doesn't trade traditional TA or FA, neither chart based, it's numbers based, think roulette wheel with knife blades.
 
Ok, here is what I have come up with. Im sure some things I will need direction on:

I would like to make it a career, and I am going to work like it already is.

What to trade: To start, I need cash flow because I will not have the funds to pass the PDT rule. So I was thinking of doing futures on ES. I also like the idea of it being open basically 24hrs. WHat I dont know is if there are decent "active and inactive" periods at "odd hours" (im in the US). Id like the idea of being able to wake up/work at whatever time. If i cant make that happen then I can adjust. Eventually Id like to go to trading stocks while I also start looking long term.

When to trade: To start, either scalping/day trading. The only reason Id do scalping is so I can hone my abilities faster - considering how many trades can be done in a day, not to say a lot of volume for day trading cant be done. Lets not forget, Ill be doing this on a demo account to begin with so I can start getting feedback first. As I move to stocks Id probably switch to swing trading. I like the idea of being able to have days where I can sit down and work if I want, or trades I dont have to pay THAT much attention to considering their nature. I do realize the idea of what I want may not be practical once I actually start doing it.

As far as when to actually trade. Im not going to put on a trade until my TA (whatever TA I end up finding) confirms it. Once confirmed, I am then obligated to put on the trade, regardless of how i feel about it.

How much to trade: 1-2% of available capital. Once a good TA is down and I feel comfortable with it after looking at my sample sizes, then its just all about scaling. I will not do any leverage to begin with because I dont know the ins and outs of it and I do not want to owe a broker anything. Maybe once I have some XP I can dabble in using half the available leverage and see what happens. A lot depends on how comfortable I feel with my TA and how consistent Ive been up until that point. Leverage I dont control sounds like risk to me.

When to sell: At a predetermined SL. Although Id like to know if there are any good ideas on how not to get stopped out early. Say you have a SL in and right when the market opens someone drives prices down. However, since anything in the market can happen maybe it isnt preventable. If I am on a runner, SL gets moved to the previous profit tear. FOr example, if i am trending up and I am at 4% profit return, SL gets moved to the 2% tier so I am AT least getting the bare minimum of what I want to profit. Rinse repeat.


Let me know what yall think.
ES is a lot of leverage-Bond. Currently bond of 13.2K per contract. So you should have that +a few K as a buffer. The alternative is Micro-ES at 10:1. A lot of professionals use ES for various reasons. It could be a very tough place to start, but I did and use it now. Mostly because I find the liquidity I want.

As or 24 hours, check out the volume. There are times it is really dead. Many systems fall apart when the volume is very low.

Capital risk by percent needs to be adjusted for your instruments and expected draw downs. They need to sort of sync. up. 1-2% PER trade at risk is relative to how much you risk and the trade fluctuation. ES type leverage changes all that a lot. Overall, I would skip this part for now. Work on a system and find something, or a combination of things that work for you and then figure out how you would actually trade it.

Overall, reasonable start but probably top of the first inning, second batter up.

I would suggest creating a measurement system for your system. Use that measurement system while you test your system. A lot of people create a system, and no real measurement system.

Cheers
 
While trading, you might not be able to find out if the trade will come out to be profitable or not. It all comes with experience.
 
You need to write a good trading plan. And how to do it? You need to keep a diary of transactions and enter all your transactions on paper trading there. Then find the most successful setups and add them to your trading plan. And then trade it. And what if a losing day? I just stop trading as soon as I hit the set daily loss. And the next day I start all over again. I’m not doubling in any way - it’s impossible, it’s like fighting the market and gambling. I just start the day over, since there was nothing yesterday. I have a plan, and I repeat it in cold blood. At first I had nervous breakdowns, I thought that I was smarter and should win back. And now I just make my plan every day, as if nothing had happened. If I lose several days in a row, I rest, go for a walk. And then again, as if nothing had happened.
 
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