Here is my theory, I thought I would run it by the board:
Let's say in the next 3 years we would have a 40% drop from the high in the Dow. But inflation inflates everything, including stockprices. So let's say if we have a real inflation of 8-10%, that would soften the blow of the drop and in nominal value, the market's drop would be just around 20%, before it starts to recover.
I looked up inflation data from the great depression, and guess what? They had negative inflation, they had deflation!:
http://inflationdata.com/inflation/Inflation_Rate/HistoricalInflation.aspx?dsInflation_currentPage=6
Between 1927 -33 the inflation was negative in every year, in 32-33 it was -9 and -10% respectively.The 12 years's cumulative inflation between 1925-36 is -25%....
So in short, would a high inflation rate help with the nominal value of the markets???
Furthermore:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_history_of_Japan#Deflation_from_the_1990s_to_present
Let's say in the next 3 years we would have a 40% drop from the high in the Dow. But inflation inflates everything, including stockprices. So let's say if we have a real inflation of 8-10%, that would soften the blow of the drop and in nominal value, the market's drop would be just around 20%, before it starts to recover.
I looked up inflation data from the great depression, and guess what? They had negative inflation, they had deflation!:
http://inflationdata.com/inflation/Inflation_Rate/HistoricalInflation.aspx?dsInflation_currentPage=6
Between 1927 -33 the inflation was negative in every year, in 32-33 it was -9 and -10% respectively.The 12 years's cumulative inflation between 1925-36 is -25%....
So in short, would a high inflation rate help with the nominal value of the markets???
Furthermore:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_history_of_Japan#Deflation_from_the_1990s_to_present