Wondering what is wrong or not good enough?

Quote from illiquid:

The OP is in a tough spot given his time frame and capital if he wants to make a living trading. Swing trading with this amount just doesn't offer enough opportunities in a year to reach critical mass wherein one can comfortably rely and withdraw enough money to live on, all the while being able to sidestep the occasional but always looming fat tail event. Even if you could string together a few good years, say doubling your account each year, you are still exposing yourself to changes in market conditions which would have alot more impact on a swing trader vs a daytrader. I would be alot more confident in his chances if he was trading intraday, using 4-1, and making a consistent say 500-1k a day.


By the way, could you please explain what you men by this:

using 4-1

I just do not understand the expression.

Thanks
 
Quote from zoli:

By the way, could you please explain what you men by this:

using 4-1

I just do not understand the expression.

Thanks

Sry meant 4:1 as in retail day trading margin.
 
Quote from zoli:

Yes, true for sure Murray.

My girlfriend knows little about trading, only that she gets sick and wants to go to toilet when I tell her that I have am in the market and I can loose 2-3000 easily. And that is not even hugh money, yet it is close 6 times more someone makes a month in my coutry.

So with her little knowledge she said: "paitence Zoli!"

And actually FX is not running wirst than an other. And I will get this.
Will be really cool.
My uncle likes to gamble so even gave me a little money to trade with. I warned him that I do not want because I can loose it all! He said fine, he wants it anyway because he likes adventures.
Good man. He hates any banks and investment firms actually. They are ....
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4 to 1 means your ''15% drawdowns '' probably go past 60%;
4 to 1 means you will remember your mistakes much better.[LOL]4 to 1 means your probable 60% drawdowns take about 120% per year to break even...............................4 to 1 means your female friend probably pukes 4 times as much.

:D
Here is some helpful sarcasm. You maybe smarter than most of the top traders in Jack Schwager 3 top traders books-very few of them traded 4 x . Sarcasm is over

Well @ least 4x dealers disclose you may lose it all; the newer the trader the less they respect risk/leverage

.And in the unlikely event you maybe a bit smarter than most of the top traders in Jack Schwager's 3 top traders books-too BAD. As they say in Chicago''the smarter you are the longer it takes''[William Eng ]

Also if you are NOT in hi tax area, & you manage your money well, like paying cash for cars, debt free home, garden......It takes very , very little money to live on.Wisdom is profitable to direct
 
Quote from murray t turtle:


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4 to 1 means your ''15% drawdowns '' probably go past 60%;
4 to 1 means you will remember your mistakes much better.[LOL]4 to 1 means your probable 60% drawdowns take about 120% per year to break even...............................4 to 1 means your female friend probably pukes 4 times as much.

:D
Here is some helpful sarcasm. You maybe smarter than most of the top traders in Jack Schwager 3 top traders books-very few of them traded 4 x . Sarcasm is over

Well @ least 4x dealers disclose you may lose it all; the newer the trader the less they respect risk/leverage

.And in the unlikely event you maybe a bit smarter than most of the top traders in Jack Schwager's 3 top traders books-too BAD. As they say in Chicago''the smarter you are the longer it takes''[William Eng ]

Also if you are NOT in hi tax area, & you manage your money well, like paying cash for cars, debt free home, garden......It takes very , very little money to live on.Wisdom is profitable to direct [/B]
When I used to do lots of back testing on stocks, I played around leverage to maximize performance. Even the best systems nulled the account with 4x leverage.
 
Quote from clightmarathon:

When I used to do lots of back testing on stocks, I played around leverage to maximize performance. Even the best systems nulled the account with 4x leverage.

Hmm yes I see. The position must be sized reasonably. I started with 1:100 in FX and never had any problem, so I am still using it.
It is true, though, that I always use carefully assessed position sizes and I think I never actually fully utilized this big leverage. I could have done the same performance with a much lower too.
 
Quote from clightmarathon:

When I used to do lots of back testing on stocks, I played around leverage to maximize performance. Even the best systems nulled the account with 4x leverage.
================
Light marathon;
It can work for a while[large leverage];
Bunker Hunt/silver,
Bear Stearns/banking.
LTC/trading,
Lehman/banking/blaming shortsellers.............................

Some do well with large leverage;
but with a worst case scenerio of that[large leverage] being a small/very small % of capital.:cool:
 
Quote from murray t turtle:

================
Light marathon;
It can work for a while[large leverage];
Bunker Hunt/silver,
Bear Stearns/banking.
LTC/trading,
Lehman/banking/blaming shortsellers.............................

Some do well with large leverage;
but with a worst case scenerio of that[large leverage] being a small/very small % of capital.:cool:
True, it can work for a while beautifully, until a string of losing trades.
Zoli mentions 100x leverage he uses in fx. It means that a sudden 100pip spike wipes his account almost clean, if he is on the wrong side.
 
Quote from clightmarathon:

True, it can work for a while beautifully, until a string of losing trades.
Zoli mentions 100x leverage he uses in fx. It means that a sudden 100pip spike wipes his account almost clean, if he is on the wrong side.

Sure it would if I was that silly to put that large position. I always have pre-determined risk and I always use a hard stop just in case.
In fx you do not need to worry too much about gaps like in futures. Yout SL order can get filled.

So a 100 pip sudden spike sure erases my position if my SL order is in the way. In that case I lose what I already decided to be my risk.

So, frankly I never got the margin call and account wiping thing. So easyexample, I want to long eurusd and I am willing to risk say 2% of capital. I put the SL to the level where the trade would be invalidated and I size my position accordingly. I also keep track on the amount of margin I need if I am in red. I have always done so.

Do I do something wrong? Do I take an inappropreate approch?
I am asking seriously and not ironically trust me. Maybe I am with a too small position in the market, would that be so? I am interested in your reply, remember, this thread is about "Wondering what is wrong or not good enough?".

Z
 
Quote from zoli:


Do I do something wrong? Do I take an inappropreate approch?
I am asking seriously and not ironically trust me. Maybe I am with a too small position in the market, would that be so? I am interested in your reply, remember, this thread is about "Wondering what is wrong or not good enough?".

Z

Your account will tell you if you are doing something wrong or right.

As far as your fx leverage: if per trade you risk no more than 2% of your equity and you avoid the news releases, than you are fine in my opinion.

But if I understood your usage of 1:100 leverage correctly you meant the following: for example you have 10,000 usd in your account and you open a 700k eurusd position (about 1:100) than your stop must be 3.5 pips away so you don't lose more than 2% of your account.
Yes, there are certain types of trades, when you can get away with such a small stop, but those are the exceptions, but most of the time such a small stop loss is taken out.
 
Quote from clightmarathon:

Your account will tell you if you are doing something wrong or right.

As far as your fx leverage: if per trade you risk no more than 2% of your equity and you avoid the news releases, than you are fine in my opinion.

But if I understood your usage of 1:100 leverage correctly you meant the following: for example you have 10,000 usd in your account and you open a 700k eurusd position (about 1:100) than your stop must be 3.5 pips away so you don't lose more than 2% of your account.
Yes, there are certain types of trades, when you can get away with such a small stop, but those are the exceptions, but most of the time such a small stop loss is taken out.

I rather put it this way:
correct usage of that leverage is (in my risk management style)
: I have 10000 usd in my account, I never ever open a 700000 usd position with that small ballance, that would be a 7 lot line. 3.5 pip movement in this market happens whenever Bernanke blinks or farts. So I consider min 50 pip or rather 150 pip SL level to a position which is to survive a day and get into the flow of a trend.
In that case the correct size for me is 0.13 lot for 150 pip SL. So my risk is 0.13*10*150=200 usd, 2% of my ballance.

But we understand each other.
 
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