Winners / losers statistics

Quote from SizePlaya79:

This is why you don't trade through a broker, for this specific reason. Brokers will churn you and burn you, they don't care if you make profit or not on the trade, they are in it cause they make commissions on the share count. Any active trader (and I do mean really active, as in doing over 50k a day) who trades through a broker is retarded, do you realize how much money you are just giving away to your broker for executing trades for you? Do yourself a favor and go prop or go class B at a firm so you bypass the broker altogether. There's a commercial out there that has the slogan "Experienced traders don't pay unnecessary fees and commissions." For an active trader....a broker is the unnecessary fee that you can avoid by going prop or Class B. But if you don't want to put in the time to get NASD Series 7 and 55 licsened then I guess you are going to be stuck in the retail account world and getting screwed by expensive brokers' fees. Just my opinion, but getting licensed was well worth it.

Your underlying assumption is that high trading frequency is a pre-requisite to trading success (since retail fees from low trading frequency are insignificant)... whether frequency of trading is a determinant of success or not depends on approach... irrespective of approach (and its associated trading frequency), success depends on something more fundamental (see my previous post)...
 
Quote from SizePlaya79:

This is why you don't trade through a broker, for this specific reason. Brokers will churn you and burn you, they don't care if you make profit or not on the trade, they are in it cause they make commissions on the share count. Any active trader (and I do mean really active, as in doing over 50k a day) who trades through a broker is retarded, do you realize how much money you are just giving away to your broker for executing trades for you? Do yourself a favor and go prop or go class B at a firm so you bypass the broker altogether. There's a commercial out there that has the slogan "Experienced traders don't pay unnecessary fees and commissions." For an active trader....a broker is the unnecessary fee that you can avoid by going prop or Class B. But if you don't want to put in the time to get NASD Series 7 and 55 licsened then I guess you are going to be stuck in the retail account world and getting screwed by expensive brokers' fees. Just my opinion, but getting licensed was well worth it.

What exactly do you mean by going class B at a firm?
 
Quote from Boib:

Maybe that's the problem. The systems are too complicated. Its human nature that drives the market. Fear and greed.

The humans that drive the markets have changed; several famous traders have a
 
Quote from Alexis:

Do you really believe that psychological aspects of trading explain that 8 in 10 people lose money:confused:

Honestly, "follow tour rules and be disciplined" is know by heart by erery single trader on earth. Most trading books are just dealing with that.

Absolutely....reading "Trading in the Zone" by Mark Douglas or "Reminiscenses of a Stock Operator" by Edwin LeFerve (read between the lines, there are tons of little lesssons in there that aren't exactly printed that you may pick up the 2nd or 3rd time you read the book). You will see just how important psychology is in trading. I beleive it accounts for 80%+ of succesfful traders' strategy, the other 20% or so is technicals, reading the tape, etc. But you have to be mentally tough and regimented and understand yourself very well. The more truthful about yourself you are to yourself the more profitable a trader you will be. You will admit when you are wrong and get out and not worry about the losses. Once you have your mental straight then the money comes almost too easily.
 
Quote from kubilai:

What exactly do you mean by going class B at a firm?


Class B versus going proprietary: For both you will need to be NASD Series 7 and 55 liscensed maybe even 63 depending on what state you trade in.

Class B traders put up their own capital (ex. $5k) to get X amount of buying power back as leverage. The advantage of going Class B is that your payout % is much higher (up to 99%). Versus if you were prop you are not putting up any capital of your own (using only the firms' capital, effectively giving you no risk since you aren't putting up any of your own money). The only downside with being prop is that your payout will suck - some as low as 50% payout of your profits. But then again that's what you get for not putting up your own collateral. You can't expect a firm to give you 95% payout when the firm itself it taking all the risk by you using their money as leverage. The advantage of Class B is that you usually only have to put up a small amount ex. $5k in order to get about 35-40x buying power in return, and this way you also get to keep more of your profits instead of giving half of them to the firm as in being a prop trader. Now with Class B if you blow out your account and lose that $5k then they usually shut down your account until you replenish the initial $5k...With a prop account the firm uses their own discretion as to when you cut you off if you are losing money. I've seen prop traders go down $50k in their account and then get fired, but they are not liable for repaying back the $50k they lost.
 
Quote from Boib:

Maybe that's the problem. The systems are too complicated. Its human nature that drives the market. Fear and greed.

The humans that drive the markets have changed; several famous traders have already confirmed that they aren't able anymore to produce the returns they had in the 80's and the 90's.
The behaviour of the market has change because the profile of the average trader has changed. In the beginning only big banks and funds could trade professionally. They had the financial possibilities to buy computers, software and realtime feed.
When i started, the system i hired costed me 2500$ a month. Today i pay 100$ a month for a Tradestation that has 10 times more possibilities than the system a had years ago. So now you can fight with more equal weapons, which means that banks and funds have more problems due to the fact that the "enemy" is better informed and has better ways to defend himself.
This also chnaged the market; trend sare not so clear anymore because there are more people that have effect on the behaviour of the markets.

I agree with you that the biggest problem in trading is the human. A human brain reacts very irrational when it comes to trading. A trader should always do what his system tells, even after 5 losses in a row; at least if the system is good.

I have trained myself to be able to go short if the whole world is going long and vice versa. I dont' care what others say or think, i do what my system tells me to do. But it took me years before i was able to do it.
 
Quote from candletrader:

Marty Schwartz did the opposite and made millions...

Do not look for success in the analysis the R:R and hit rate numbers, since traders with diametrically opposite numbers can be equally successful...

If success were to be found in the analysis of such numbers in the context of a so-called positive expectancy approach (is any approach actually positive expectancy? -- no, not in the long run), all reasonably numerate and intelligent traders would be a success... my contention is that the vast majority of reasonably numerate and intelligent traders have already blown up their accounts or will blow up their accounts, generally by slow bleeding it away over a few years... and anyone who doesn't have reasonable numeracy or intelligence will also blow up his account, generally by fast bleeding it away within a matter of months...

Trading is brutal... success can only be found on recognition of the fundamental truths of trading, which will often vary from person to person... but trading will still be brutal... trading is easy, and therein lies the attraction of it for the neophyte... but trading successfully is anything but easy...

Three EXCELLENT posts from candle on the first page. Print and save!
 
well we need definitly 2 things

one good system and an excellent risk management or would say money management,

as most of us i lst a lot of time and money untill i bult a good system for me


BUT
even with 80% accuracy i still lose money coz of poor management and trading psycology, i m working on this issue since one year, now i started to make money again WITHOUT giving back ALL of them

so beleive me : without system u r gambling , with a good system it's not enough u nedd solid money management
 
Quote from candletrader:

Those who win at this game understand that trading is nothing more than a numbers game, and tend to build simple strategies around that core reality...

Those who lose at this game have yet to simplify things or are incapable of doing so...
"Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler." ~ Albert Einstein

In other words, there's just as much danger in oversimplifying trading as there is in overcomplicating it. Optimization is finding the right balance. :cool:
 
Take this from someone who finally turned the corner and started to become one of the successful 5%. I have been trading full time for 15 months and part time for 3 years. To become successful, a person has to have
1. good money management
2. a good mental framework
3. a good system.

There is no one thing a trader needs. He needs all three of the above to become successful. All three are of equal importance. I have lost many thousands of dollars because I was lacking in one of the above three. The hardest of the three (for me at least) was a good mental framework. Once a week I go over "Trading in the Zone" by Mark Douglas. The book was referred to me by Larry Pesavento of Fibonacci fame. I constantly practice my system, go over money management, and reinforce my belief system to combat the fear I encounter on a daily basis while trading. Day by day, I am becoming a better trader.
 
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