Quote from Ivanovich:
I laugh about those who seem surprised about no rate cut. Half a dozen of us said this was the case months ago. Market just did what it wanted, like it always does, and ignored the negative news, focusing only on the positive. That's fine. The market is a dumb beast, but as long as you know the stimulis and response pattern, you make money.
As for a rate hike? This one I'm a bit more clouded on. I think what we'll see is just yapping about it, but no action until it's clear that housing is on firmer footing. I believe that is the only thing holding the Fed back from hiking.