Will the election be the catalyst that pushes the market back down?

It seems like everyone is gearing up for high volatility. That is why it won't happen. The most people lose when it goes sideways. Range bound through the end of the year, then January Effect.
 
I think you have a total retard in Trump and a moderate in Biden -so far the FED has not maxed out the credit card creating an illusion that nobody wants to burst as it would signify Putin's victory. The US has Trump andCovid and still the market climbs like a teenager on meth
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Windlesham1 said:
I think you have a total retard in Trump and a moderate in Biden -so far the FED has not maxed out the credit card creating an illusion that nobody wants to burst as it would signify Putin's victory. The US has Trump andCovid and still the market climbs like a teenager on meth View attachment 239204
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What does "other" in the chart above include? Its the big dog.
Corporate's?
That's kinda scary in a way.
A house of cards built on a seismic fault.
... smarter minds than me I guess.
 
The bulk of it is mortgage backed securities- the US has cardboard houses mostly, and as shown in the film 'The Big Short' nothing has changed- these mortgages are often based on fake documents. Mortgages are sold by 'highly motivated' sales people. Nobody wants to stop the music- but it will stop, when we get defaults of 3months +. This time it may make 2009 look tame .
 
Windlesham1 said:
The bulk of it is mortgage backed securities- the US has cardboard houses mostly, and as shown in the film 'The Big Short' nothing has changed- these mortgages are often based on fake documents. Mortgages are sold by 'highly motivated' sales people. Nobody wants to stop the music- but it will stop, when we get defaults of 3months +. This time it may make 2009 look tame .
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MBS has its own category up there, the red line. I was referring to the gray(tan) line that tops out at about 360.
 
Main thing is to keep an eye on VIX as well as S&P. The VIX is still low, somewhat bullish here.

I want to see VIX > 30 for at least 2 days to confirm bearish reversal.
 
yogi_trader said:
Trump wins it will tank as he will go after Big Tech for being monopolies
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Anyone who believes Trump will do anything he says he will do, is a fool. If you want to know what Trump will do, find out who has spurned him, who he has fought with, who has made him look like a fool, who has told the truth -- that's who he will go after and try to ruin...if Congress lets him, and they have been letting him. Who will he support?: those who give him money, or who help him make money, who help him stay in power, who protect him from prosecution. His decisions are largely driven by consideration of what's in it for him. Inflation is hugely beneficial to Trump. You are already seeing inflation tick up. You will see more if he is re-elected.

Donald Trump is a pathological liar, a narcissist, and a sociopath. He has been named in over 4000 law suits. He has been identified as a co-conspirator in an indictment for campaign finance fraud, he has settled out of court after indictment for two other frauds and paid millions in restitution. He is forever barred from serving on the board of any charitable foundation in New York State. He has publicly bragged about sexually assaulting women. His former wife accused him of rape. He is a defendant in a defamation suit stemming from another rape he committed many years ago. He is using public money and the U.S. Department of Justice to defend himself against charges having nothing to do with his official duties. He has a severe mental disorder. Vote for him at your peril.
 
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