Cme group dot com (Official)
Need to Change View to “Probabilities”
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
There’s no glitch anymore![]()
Yes, they "fixed the glitch".
Cme group dot com (Official)
Need to Change View to “Probabilities”
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
There’s no glitch anymore![]()
Haha, Ken, can you please tell us how you really feel?![]()
.Considering how fast the price retracted after such weak CPI data with ALL three CPI numbers better than both the previous and forecast, it's very likely Powell is going to continue to take a strong stance against inflation to really make sure it's dead. I mean with so good of CPI numbers, the market should've stayed rallied at 100 points and yet the market quickly retreated from the top and never recovered. What does that indicate? It indicates that the market is not confident that Powell is satisfied with these numbers.
Ultimately, the numbers don't matter. What matters is if Powell is happy with these numbers convinced that the inflation is really dead and on its way back to the targeted rate of 2%. As long as he's not happy, the market won't be going up. That's how it is. Seeing how fast the market retracted from the top so quickly, I wouldn't even put 0.75 raise off the table.
Happy with 7%+ inflation? Are you out of your fuxxing mind?
Don't worry. Hindsight is 100 per cent.Who the hell knows.

What The Dawn meant was not that Powell was happy with the 7% number, but happy with the rate of decline.
What decline? There is no decline...
There is no point to all this cynical bs. You're making theories based on bs assumptions and running with them. And you dismiss facts and outlooks because markets didn't do some orderly predictable move. Markets don't work that way.
Shocking prediction there.Market's gonna burn