some points
i am not sure what you are planning on trading, and what timeframe, but you say you want to stay out of trendless markets (so called trendless)
statisitcally speaking (varies with market development, but is generally true ) the stock indexes only "trend" 4-6 days a month
this means roughly 3/4 of the time, they are "trendless" (i prefer the term "rotating around value" but i am a big fan of market profile).
so called trendless days are EXTREMELY tradeable but if you don't want to trade them, that's your decision
however, if you are only trading index futures, or indexes, you are going to be sittin' on yer hands most days, which is kind of silly (imo)
imo, what is key, is determining when the market is strongly trending or not. when it is, use setups that suit that stage of market development. when the market is rotating around value, then use appropriate setups
ADX is a measure of trend, but it merely tells you what the market HAS done. it's ability to let you know if the market will CONTINUE is another issue entirely. that's why i don't use these sorts of indicators, but i concentrate on price, the tape, internals, key reference areas, etc.
it is true that on a strongly trending day, you will have plenty of time to get in on a continuing trend by seeing it in the ADX. the problem is how do *you* determine if the market is strongly trending (ie gonna continue).
i know how *i* do it, and it aint ADX
i am not sure what you are planning on trading, and what timeframe, but you say you want to stay out of trendless markets (so called trendless)
statisitcally speaking (varies with market development, but is generally true ) the stock indexes only "trend" 4-6 days a month
this means roughly 3/4 of the time, they are "trendless" (i prefer the term "rotating around value" but i am a big fan of market profile).
so called trendless days are EXTREMELY tradeable but if you don't want to trade them, that's your decision
however, if you are only trading index futures, or indexes, you are going to be sittin' on yer hands most days, which is kind of silly (imo)
imo, what is key, is determining when the market is strongly trending or not. when it is, use setups that suit that stage of market development. when the market is rotating around value, then use appropriate setups
ADX is a measure of trend, but it merely tells you what the market HAS done. it's ability to let you know if the market will CONTINUE is another issue entirely. that's why i don't use these sorts of indicators, but i concentrate on price, the tape, internals, key reference areas, etc.
it is true that on a strongly trending day, you will have plenty of time to get in on a continuing trend by seeing it in the ADX. the problem is how do *you* determine if the market is strongly trending (ie gonna continue).
i know how *i* do it, and it aint ADX