For a while, I have attempted to trade breakouts (unsuccessfully).
For a certain crypto that is priced at around 0.10, and which has ranged from 0.08 to 0.20 in the past few months, my method is:
It seems to me that a tight stop loss is required for breakout trading, as breakouts often fail, and, without a tight stop loss, the losses will add up very quickly. This is why I have, to date, used a tight stop loss set at an arbitrary price, e.g. at the .00070 mark.
I have often been stopped out of big moves. In those cases, I would watch price movement to see if the downward movement has stopped and, if I feel it is appropriate to do so, enter again. In other cases, however, my system has saved me from considerable loss.
Most of my big losses have occasioned when I failed to follow my system. In those cases, I watch price fall while hoping without reason that price would go back up again.
I am surprised to read that in an online article, "Are you a breakout trader that looks for big moves to happen following a breakout of price and volatility for example? if that is the case than your stops should probably be very wide."
(https://www.financemagnates.com/tra...ight-stops-wide-stops-which-one-should-i-use/)
If stop losses are set based on price structures (e.g. support and resistance), or if wide stop losses are used, wouldn't losses accumulate to an intolerable extent in breakout trading?
I am not successful at breakout trading yet. Therefore, my question has two parts:
For a certain crypto that is priced at around 0.10, and which has ranged from 0.08 to 0.20 in the past few months, my method is:
(a) Let's say that the price is in consolidation, and let's say, based on volume analysis, I have reason to believe that the price may break out of the range. Let's say that the price is currently hovering around 0.09850.
(b) I would set a stop entry at 0.09925 with a limit at 0.09950. My reasoning is that, if the price can break out of 0.09900, then it would likely go up to 0.10000. (My theory is that each .00100 mark is a kind of support or resistance.)
(c) After entry, I would set a stop loss at 0.09870. (I feel that if price hits 0.09870, then my thesis would have failed. Sometimes, I set my stop losses at the 0.00050 (e.g. 0.09850) or 0.00065 (e.g. 0.09865) mark instead, but I feel that the risk-reward ratio would be wrong.)
(d) If price goes up to 0.9980, then I would move my stop loss up to 0.09950. Due to fees and commissions, this is technically not break-even. However I feel that this reduces my potential loss significantly.
(e) Then, if price goes quite a bit beyond 0.10000, I would move my stop loss up to 0.9980 or 0.10000.
(f) Then, I wait.
(b) I would set a stop entry at 0.09925 with a limit at 0.09950. My reasoning is that, if the price can break out of 0.09900, then it would likely go up to 0.10000. (My theory is that each .00100 mark is a kind of support or resistance.)
(c) After entry, I would set a stop loss at 0.09870. (I feel that if price hits 0.09870, then my thesis would have failed. Sometimes, I set my stop losses at the 0.00050 (e.g. 0.09850) or 0.00065 (e.g. 0.09865) mark instead, but I feel that the risk-reward ratio would be wrong.)
(d) If price goes up to 0.9980, then I would move my stop loss up to 0.09950. Due to fees and commissions, this is technically not break-even. However I feel that this reduces my potential loss significantly.
(e) Then, if price goes quite a bit beyond 0.10000, I would move my stop loss up to 0.9980 or 0.10000.
(f) Then, I wait.
It seems to me that a tight stop loss is required for breakout trading, as breakouts often fail, and, without a tight stop loss, the losses will add up very quickly. This is why I have, to date, used a tight stop loss set at an arbitrary price, e.g. at the .00070 mark.
I have often been stopped out of big moves. In those cases, I would watch price movement to see if the downward movement has stopped and, if I feel it is appropriate to do so, enter again. In other cases, however, my system has saved me from considerable loss.
Most of my big losses have occasioned when I failed to follow my system. In those cases, I watch price fall while hoping without reason that price would go back up again.
I am surprised to read that in an online article, "Are you a breakout trader that looks for big moves to happen following a breakout of price and volatility for example? if that is the case than your stops should probably be very wide."
(https://www.financemagnates.com/tra...ight-stops-wide-stops-which-one-should-i-use/)
If stop losses are set based on price structures (e.g. support and resistance), or if wide stop losses are used, wouldn't losses accumulate to an intolerable extent in breakout trading?
I am not successful at breakout trading yet. Therefore, my question has two parts:
(a) What am I doing wrong with the method described above?
(b) How should one set stop losses for breakout trading?
(b) How should one set stop losses for breakout trading?