It's the sun and we are going to get cold.
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In Russia, one of the world's leading solar physicists, Habibullo Abdussamatov, says the planet is well on the way to another deep freeze. Abdussamatov is the head of space research at the Russian Academy of Sciences Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in St Petersburg, and director of the Russian segment of the International Space Station.
In an interview with Principia Scientific International, Abdussamatov said results of research from the ISS had indicated a decline in total solar irradiance, which was having a dramatic effect on the global climate.
Data indicated the onset of a mini ice age.
The view from Russia is that solar activity, not carbon dioxide emissions, has driven global temperatures. Abdussamatov said global warming during the last decades of the 20th century was due to de-gassing of large amounts of carbon dioxide, released into the atmosphere from oceans, triggered by the increased solar irradiance. He said the lack of any warming for the past 17 years was a result of the decline of the total solar irradiance.
Abdussamatov said there had been five deep cold periods in the past 1000 years - in 1030, 1315, 1500, 1680 and 1805.
He said another cool period was due and would come about regardless of whether industrialised countries put a cap on their greenhouse gas emissions.
"Mars has global warming - but without a greenhouse and without the participation of Martians," Abdussamatov said.
"These parallel global warmings - observed simultaneously on Mars and on the Earth - can only be a consequence of the effect of the same factor: a long-time change in solar irradiance."
Abdussamatov said a new "little ice age" would start this or next year and hit a low around 2040, with a deep freeze that would last for the rest of the century.
The Russian research corresponds with the announcement by US solar physicists last year that the sun appears to be headed into a lengthy spell of low activity.
Scientists at the US National Solar Observatory and US Air Force Research Laboratory said three different analyses of the sun's recent behavior all indicate that a period of unusually low solar activity may be about to begin.
"This is highly unusual and unexpected," Frank Hill, associate director of the NSO's Solar Synoptic Network, said of the results in a statement last June. "But the fact that three completely different views of the sun point in the same direction is a powerful indicator that the sunspot cycle may be going into hibernation."
Spot numbers and other solar activity rise and fall about every 11 years, half of the sun's 22-year magnetic interval, since the sun's magnetic poles reverse with each cycle. The immediate issue is whether this slowdown presages a second Maunder Minimum, the 70-year period with virtually no sunspots from 1645 to 1715.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/nat...a-coming-ice-age/story-e6frg6xf-1226634874185
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In Russia, one of the world's leading solar physicists, Habibullo Abdussamatov, says the planet is well on the way to another deep freeze. Abdussamatov is the head of space research at the Russian Academy of Sciences Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in St Petersburg, and director of the Russian segment of the International Space Station.
In an interview with Principia Scientific International, Abdussamatov said results of research from the ISS had indicated a decline in total solar irradiance, which was having a dramatic effect on the global climate.
Data indicated the onset of a mini ice age.
The view from Russia is that solar activity, not carbon dioxide emissions, has driven global temperatures. Abdussamatov said global warming during the last decades of the 20th century was due to de-gassing of large amounts of carbon dioxide, released into the atmosphere from oceans, triggered by the increased solar irradiance. He said the lack of any warming for the past 17 years was a result of the decline of the total solar irradiance.
Abdussamatov said there had been five deep cold periods in the past 1000 years - in 1030, 1315, 1500, 1680 and 1805.
He said another cool period was due and would come about regardless of whether industrialised countries put a cap on their greenhouse gas emissions.
"Mars has global warming - but without a greenhouse and without the participation of Martians," Abdussamatov said.
"These parallel global warmings - observed simultaneously on Mars and on the Earth - can only be a consequence of the effect of the same factor: a long-time change in solar irradiance."
Abdussamatov said a new "little ice age" would start this or next year and hit a low around 2040, with a deep freeze that would last for the rest of the century.
The Russian research corresponds with the announcement by US solar physicists last year that the sun appears to be headed into a lengthy spell of low activity.
Scientists at the US National Solar Observatory and US Air Force Research Laboratory said three different analyses of the sun's recent behavior all indicate that a period of unusually low solar activity may be about to begin.
"This is highly unusual and unexpected," Frank Hill, associate director of the NSO's Solar Synoptic Network, said of the results in a statement last June. "But the fact that three completely different views of the sun point in the same direction is a powerful indicator that the sunspot cycle may be going into hibernation."
Spot numbers and other solar activity rise and fall about every 11 years, half of the sun's 22-year magnetic interval, since the sun's magnetic poles reverse with each cycle. The immediate issue is whether this slowdown presages a second Maunder Minimum, the 70-year period with virtually no sunspots from 1645 to 1715.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/nat...a-coming-ice-age/story-e6frg6xf-1226634874185
